Yeah. BR and I both know that. Allard has been and still is vulnerable. But all those folks in 2000 were going against new candidates. Strickland's a proven commodity and a proven loser. And Allard has a lot of money in reserve.
COLORADO: Republican Sen. Wayne Allard: Raised and spent about $3.8 million; $900,583 on hand.
Democratic challenger Tom Strickland: Raised $3.5 million and spent $3.7 million; $160,131 on hand.
Strickland had better hope he still has a lot of pre-paid advertising to run. So they spent the same amount, and neither got a lot for it. But Allard led throughout.
I know this race is still competitive, but I have a difficult time believing a guy who already lost to Allard six years ago, when there were less registered Dems, can now defeat Allard while having $800K less than him and in trailing in all but one poll. I'll continue to worry about Allard, but if you make me pick right now I've gotta go with Allard taking about 53-54%.