BTTT
This still remains very close to the outcome, and will remain my exact prediction.
I find the 90% confidence interval is that the Terrell vote will be between 53.6% and 55.0% of the vote cast. The 95% confidence interval is between 52.9% and 57.2% of the vote cast, and the 99% CI is between 49.9% and 58.3% of the vote cast.
Due to heroic effort by Dems, we are now looking at a black voter turnout of 21.6% of all votes cast, with whites at 74.8% and Hispanics, Asians and others at 3.6%.
I had earlier predicted that Terrell would carry the Orleans parish by a hairbreadth, but the higher black turnout [to include just 4500 to 8000 outright fraudulent votes, compared with three or four TIMES that in 1996] is now putting Terrell at some 45.2% in that parish: this is still very good for a Republican and may be a record for Senator, Governor, or President for Reps. in that parish.
I also show black voting FOR Terrell to be at a record for any other high visibility race in the last generation-- with some 17% of blacks, more in Orleans, backing the Republican.
This is a roadmap for much more GOP success in the next few elections, and not just in the deep South!