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To: Kenny Bunk
NO MORE FRAUD

BTTT

17 posted on 12/06/2002 8:04:40 AM PST by nicmarlo
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To: All
Several days ago, I posted on FR that Ms Terrell will have 54.57% of the vote cast, and since all spoiled and written-in ballots will be discarded, that leaves Ms Landrieu with exactly 45.43%.

This still remains very close to the outcome, and will remain my exact prediction.

I find the 90% confidence interval is that the Terrell vote will be between 53.6% and 55.0% of the vote cast. The 95% confidence interval is between 52.9% and 57.2% of the vote cast, and the 99% CI is between 49.9% and 58.3% of the vote cast.

Due to heroic effort by Dems, we are now looking at a black voter turnout of 21.6% of all votes cast, with whites at 74.8% and Hispanics, Asians and others at 3.6%.

I had earlier predicted that Terrell would carry the Orleans parish by a hairbreadth, but the higher black turnout [to include just 4500 to 8000 outright fraudulent votes, compared with three or four TIMES that in 1996] is now putting Terrell at some 45.2% in that parish: this is still very good for a Republican and may be a record for Senator, Governor, or President for Reps. in that parish.

I also show black voting FOR Terrell to be at a record for any other high visibility race in the last generation-- with some 17% of blacks, more in Orleans, backing the Republican.

This is a roadmap for much more GOP success in the next few elections, and not just in the deep South!

18 posted on 12/06/2002 8:21:02 AM PST by crystalk
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