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To: Calpernia
Thanks. I am concerned about the trend in the new cases in the United States and I am waiting for a break in the trend.

On March 11, there were 11 reported cases in the U.S.
On March 24, there were 37 reported cases in the U.S.
On April 2, 72 cases.

The current trend suggests the number of cases in the U.S. are roughly doubling each week.

On a hypothetical basis, if the number of cases doubled every week, in 23 weeks everyone in the U.S. would have SARS.

I definately do not expect this trend to hold up, but I will be glad to see it break.

49 posted on 04/02/2003 6:58:55 AM PST by honway
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To: honway
HK is doubling every week too. See post #1

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/881827/posts
51 posted on 04/02/2003 7:14:47 AM PST by CathyRyan
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To: honway
Given this thing's contagion rate I'd say everyone's gonna get this w/in a year. At 3.47% fatality (last I read) that'd put the global deaths at 200 million with 1.4 million in the U.S.
54 posted on 04/02/2003 7:31:27 AM PST by Justa
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