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To: cebadams
Hospitalized Hong Kong SARS cases
Time Cases Increase Dispositon of Cases Total dead as % of case totals on previous days
Day Date New Total Day Week Hospital % Recover % Dead % Day ago 2 Day 3 Day 4 Day 5 Day 6 Day Week 2 Week
Wed 03/19 150
Thu 03/20 23 173 15.3%
Fri 03/21 30 203 17.3%
Sat 03/22 19 222 9.4%
Sun 03/23 25 247 11.3%
Mon 03/24 13 260 5.3%
Tue 03/25 26 286 10.0%
Wed 03/26 30 316 10.5% 110.7%
Thu 03/27 51 367 16.1% 112.1%
Fri 03/28 58 425 15.8% 109.4%
Sat 03/29 45 470 10.6% 111.7% 10 2.1% 2.4% 2.7% 3.2% 3.5% 3.8% 4.0% 4.5%
Sun 03/30 60 530 12.8% 114.6% 13 2.5% 2.8% 3.1% 3.5% 4.1% 4.5% 5.0% 5.3%
Mon 03/31 80 610 15.1% 134.6% 15 2.5% 2.8% 3.2% 3.5% 4.1% 4.7% 5.2% 5.8%
Tue 04/1 75 685 12.3% 139.5% 16 2.3% 2.6% 3.0% 3.4% 3.8% 4.4% 5.1% 5.6%
Wed 04/2 23 708 3.4% 124.1% 603 85.2% 89 12.6% 16 2.3% 2.3% 2.6% 3.0% 3.4% 3.8% 4.4% 5.1% 10.7%
Thu 04/3 26 734 3.7% 100.0% 619 84.3% 98 13.4% 17 2.3% 2.4% 2.5% 2.8% 3.2% 3.6% 4.0% 4.6% 9.8%
Fri 04/4 27 761 3.7% 79.1% 645 84.8% 99 13.0% 17 2.2% 2.3% 2.4% 2.5% 2.8% 3.2% 3.6% 4.0% 8.4%
Sat 04/5 39 800 5.1% 70.2% 673 84.1% 107 13.4% 20 2.5% 2.6% 2.7% 2.8% 2.9% 3.3% 3.8% 4.3% 9.0%
Averages 38 10.4% 109.6% 84.6% 13.1% 2.3% 2.5% 2.8% 3.1% 3.5% 3.9% 4.4% 4.9% 9.5%

31 posted on 04/05/2003 3:29:41 PM PST by per loin
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To: per loin
Very interesting statistics. Once we stopped getting new cases from the sick apartment complex the number of new cases seemed to drop encouragingly.

However, the number of new cases each day is still quite high. If the current containment measures are working, we should see a significant drop in new cases by the middle of next week.

On the other hand, it is still too soon for new patients infected by the apartment complex patients to start showing up. Since the new restrictive measures were not in place during part of the time these people may have been contagious, we could see a spike in cases simply from that source. If we do, it would not necessarily mean that the quarantine attempt will fail.

It would be nice to have access to the raw data. For instance, how many of the people infected on or before March 15th have been released, died, are in intensive care, on ventilators, etc.?

Even without having access to the raw data, it is readily apparent that most people are spending a long time in the hospital. The total number of recovered+dead patients is less than the total number of cases on March 19th.
32 posted on 04/05/2003 5:22:03 PM PST by EternalHope (Chirac is funny, France is a joke.)
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