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CALPINE, MIRANT AND EL PASO GAIN GROUND
CBS Market Watch ^ | 07 April 2003 | Lisa Sanders

Posted on 04/07/2003 10:30:21 AM PDT by MeneMeneTekelUpharsin

NEW YORK (CBS.MW) -- Shares of Mirant and Calpine gained Monday as investors expressed optimism the two would soon announce refinancing deals. El Paso advanced as the company announced a slate of directors for its board. Last week, Reliant Resources (RRI: news, chart, profile), Dynegy (DYN: news, chart, profile) and AES Corp. (AES: news, chart, profile) completed deals considered critical to the survival of each.

Reliant, which announced a new $6.2 billion financing package Tuesday, declined 2 cents to $4.31 in Monday midday trading. See related story. The stock is up more than 17 percent in the last week. Dynegy added 6 cents to $2.75 in recent action. The company announced a $1.66 billion financing through subsidiary Dynegy Holdings Wednesday. And AES Corp. said Friday it plans to launch a refinancing that would include a private offering of $1 billion in new senior secured notes. See full story. Shares rose 15 cents to $4.85 on volume of 3.7 million in recent Monday action. The daily average is 2.54 million.

Given the refinancing news in the last couple of weeks, bankruptcy risk for the energy merchants is "not as high as people have speculated," said Lasan Johong, an analyst at Blaylock and Partners. See Due Diligence for more. Shares of Mirant (MIR: news, chart, profile) rose 9 cents to $2.01 and Calpine (CPN: news, chart, profile ) added 12 cents to $4.28. Both companies have declined to comment on ongoing negotiations related to debt refinancing. Calpine was the most actively traded energy stock Monday with volume of more than 6 million. On Monday, Mirant said the Public Utilities Commission of Nevada had approved three long- term power contracts signed by Mirant and Nevada Power Company in January. Under the contracts, which extend to April 2008, Mirant will provide 325 megawatts of capacity and electricity to Nevada Power Company.

Also Monday, El Paso Corp. (EP: news, chart, profile ), which has been accused by dissident shareholder Selim Zilkha of having a board lacking in oil and gas industry experience, announced the slate of directors to be voted on at the company's annual meeting. A date for the meeting has yet to be set. El Paso said it had elected to the board James Dunlap, a former vice chairman, president and chief operating officer of Ocean Energy/United Meridian Corp. and former president of Texaco. Other board nominees include Robert Goldman, formerly the chief financial officer of Conoco, Michael Talbert, chairman of Transocean (RIG: news, chart, profile), and John Whitmire, chairman of Consol Energy (CNX: news, chart, profile). See more. Shares of El Paso were up 33 cents, or 5.4 percent, to trade at $6.49 on volume of 5.6 million.

Elsewhere, Anadarko Petroleum Corp. (APC: news, chart, profile ) declined 52 cents to $44.88. The Houston-based company announced it had discovered natural gas at its Jubilee prospect in the Eastern Gulf of Mexico. Atwater Valley 349 No. 1 is the first well drilled under the exploration program in the Eastern Gulf. The Amex Natural Gas Index (XNG: news, chart, profile) rose 1 percent to 171.48, lifted by Williams Cos. (WMB: news, chart, profile). Shares rose 18 cents, or 3.7 percent, to $5.08 to help offset losses in Anadarko, Apache Corp. (APA: news, chart, profile), and EOG Resources (EOG: news, chart, profile). On the New York Mercantile Exchange, May natural gas gained 19.2 cents to $5.135 per million British thermal units on forecasts of colder weather. Crude for May delivery shed 46 cents to $28.16. See Futures Movers.


TOPICS: Business/Economy; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: calpine; calpowercrisis; elpaso; energy; mirant; stocks
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To: MeneMeneTekelUpharsin
It should make for interesting observation in the coming days. Seems like more Freepers should be awakened to joys of investing for the long term at times like these.

I agree, but the first time I ever make a recommendation, be sure and short the stock.

AES has been on my radar screen for a long while but I was chicken to pull the trigger when it was low, and then it started to run away and kinda scared me. You might want to look into that one, I think they have some new plants coming on line or are already, that feed the CA market, which will get wild on elec prices this summer if its hot.

Very low on hydro power this year, which means huge reliance on gas fired power plants. I may buy some anyway, even though its gone up like a rocket.

21 posted on 05/02/2003 5:02:21 PM PDT by BOBTHENAILER (Just like Black September. One by one, we're gonna get 'em.)
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To: BOBTHENAILER
Very low on hydro power this year, which means huge reliance on gas fired power plants.

Many people do not understand nor realize the above factor in regard to power plants. You're sharp.

22 posted on 05/02/2003 7:33:49 PM PDT by MeneMeneTekelUpharsin (El que rie ultimo, rie mejor.)
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To: MeneMeneTekelUpharsin
Many people do not understand nor realize the above factor in regard to power plants.

Last time I looked, I think the total US usage of natural gas by Power Generators is somewhere around 30% of ALL production, which will go nowhere but upward (thank you greenies) . For the last two years, production has declined 2-4%, usage has inclined 1-3%, thus the rise in stock price. When I get to my office, I'll give you a link to the EIA (US Gov't) website which reports weekly storage reports for natural gas. Very useful for determination of value of some of those stocks which we've discussed.

The ones who will really fare well, are producers of natural gas, tranporters (pipelines) and generators. (EP, WMB, CLP, etc.)

23 posted on 05/03/2003 6:48:46 AM PDT by BOBTHENAILER (Just like Black September. One by one, we're gonna get 'em.)
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To: BOBTHENAILER
The ones who will really fare well, are producers of natural gas, tranporters (pipelines) and generators.

Ah, that's why Warren Buffet bought the pipeline itself. Hmmmmm....

24 posted on 05/03/2003 6:07:40 PM PDT by MeneMeneTekelUpharsin (El que rie ultimo, rie mejor.)
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To: BOBTHENAILER
Hey Bob,

Guess maybe I don't look so stupid after all. Sometimes one gets tired of the offhand comments and inflammatory remarks denigratig one's good judgement and character. Oh well.

Here, take a look at THIS story on the Business Week website posted here:

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/905735/posts

25 posted on 05/04/2003 7:47:22 PM PDT by MeneMeneTekelUpharsin (El que rie ultimo, rie mejor.)
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To: MeneMeneTekelUpharsin
Here,

Let's try that link again:

Click here.

26 posted on 05/04/2003 7:48:23 PM PDT by MeneMeneTekelUpharsin (El que rie ultimo, rie mejor.)
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To: MeneMeneTekelUpharsin
To all of the individuals who are selling the energy stocks I would like to say:

Thank you!,

I am extremely grateful to those people who have decided to get out and let them go cheap. This opportunity will never come again in my lifetime.

27 posted on 05/08/2003 8:21:42 AM PDT by MeneMeneTekelUpharsin (El que rie ultimo, rie mejor.)
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To: BOBTHENAILER
Hey Bob,

Check out this message and link: Click here.

28 posted on 05/09/2003 2:19:49 PM PDT by MeneMeneTekelUpharsin (El que rie ultimo, rie mejor.)
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To: BOBTHENAILER
Wow, crazy day starting yesterday. Mirant stock is jumping up for no reason. Someone knows something apparently that the rest of us don't know. Several energy producer stocks are climbing...is this a setup for a future fall?
29 posted on 05/16/2003 4:32:20 PM PDT by MeneMeneTekelUpharsin (El que rie ultimo, rie mejor.)
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To: BOBTHENAILER
Just checked CPN....up $.31, now watch, it'll plummet after I post this. LOL

You were right, just a few days late. The big boys are playing around with all of the IPPs. Almost all of them dropped dramatically yesterday. Some bounced back today. Sure are cheap...not enough money to buy all that I want.

30 posted on 05/21/2003 2:17:04 PM PDT by MeneMeneTekelUpharsin (El que rie ultimo, rie mejor.)
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To: MeneMeneTekelUpharsin
Sure are cheap...not enough money to buy all that I want.

I knwo what you mean. Scary market, but I think with the looming natural gas supply problems, these companies will continue to grow.

31 posted on 05/21/2003 7:44:08 PM PDT by BOBTHENAILER (Once again, FReeRepublic is show prep for the world)
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To: BOBTHENAILER
Here is another interesting article FYI:

Click here.

32 posted on 05/22/2003 4:28:13 AM PDT by MeneMeneTekelUpharsin (El que rie ultimo, rie mejor.)
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To: MeneMeneTekelUpharsin
That is an interesting article. Thanks.
33 posted on 05/22/2003 4:59:13 AM PDT by BOBTHENAILER (Once again, FReeRepublic is show prep for the world)
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To: BOBTHENAILER
Bob, here's another interesting article which simply documents the process. Enjoy reading.

Click here.

No greater enjoyment exists for me short of teaching people about Christ than doing research on secular subjects. Have a good day. God is most certainly good. The Lord gives...and the Lord takes away...blessed be the name of the Lord.

34 posted on 05/23/2003 4:46:25 AM PDT by MeneMeneTekelUpharsin (El que rie ultimo, rie mejor.)
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To: MeneMeneTekelUpharsin
God is most certainly good. The Lord gives...and the Lord takes away...blessed be the name of the Lord.

Hear ye. Have a good day as well.

35 posted on 05/23/2003 6:30:44 AM PDT by BOBTHENAILER (Aces & Eight's..the dead man's hand)
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To: BOBTHENAILER
Calpine AND El Paso recovering nicely with CPN at 7.65 and EP at 8.45 as I type. Both dipped when we first discussed this and then took off. Now, looks like a short squeeze on Calpine ... LOL!!! It's about time. Also, Mirant is down just prior to the announcement on whether they'll refinance or not. In my opinion, like several others, they will refinance and MIR will jump too. What a bargain right now. Don't say you weren't told.
36 posted on 07/08/2003 8:36:01 AM PDT by MeneMeneTekelUpharsin (De tal palo, tal astilla.)
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To: MeneMeneTekelUpharsin
Heard through the grapevine that the CEO of Calpine recently sold a bunch of his stock. Heard anything?
37 posted on 02/12/2004 4:25:53 PM PST by philman_36
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To: philman_36
Heard through the grapevine that the CEO of Calpine recently sold a bunch of his stock. Heard anything?

All of that should be public knowledge through filing of the Form 4. What I know I cannot disclose publicly. Sorry. Mirant (MIRKQ) jumped up today almost 8% on pretty good volume. They should be coming out with the Plan of Reorganization pretty soon. Hopefully, it will keep the common intact and it looks like (in my humble opinion) that such will be the case.

38 posted on 02/12/2004 5:56:59 PM PST by MeneMeneTekelUpharsin (Freedom is the freedom to discipline yourself so others don't have to do it for you.)
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To: philman_36
The Mirant Chapter 11 was a shock. Most certainly believed they would refinance like several others (like Calpine) did. The problem was basically one of debt maturities. We'll see shortly how well they've done with the extreme cold weather. Definitely interesting to watch and research. Nice to see someone else watches this sector.
39 posted on 02/12/2004 5:59:34 PM PST by MeneMeneTekelUpharsin (Freedom is the freedom to discipline yourself so others don't have to do it for you.)
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