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Not real encouraging.
1 posted on 04/13/2003 2:01:53 PM PDT by DeaconBenjamin
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2 posted on 04/13/2003 2:04:17 PM PDT by Support Free Republic (Your support keeps Free Republic going strong!)
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To: DeaconBenjamin
from http://www.hkupasteur.hku.hk/hkuip/SARS.html

"As on April 12th it cannot be told whether the disease is spreading in a linear or in an exponential fashion. The increase in the recent days is a matter of great concern, since it suggests exponential growth. If the total number of cases reached 5,000 by the end of the month, this would suggest that the disease may have come out of control. Mathematicians at the Department of HKU are investigating the possibility that the disease would result from mutations derived from a rather innocuous highly contagious disease (with oral-faecal transmission route) that would have changed its tropism by mutation. This has already been observed in livestock in the past few years, with coronaviruses in particular."
3 posted on 04/13/2003 2:07:15 PM PDT by Lessismore
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To: DeaconBenjamin
It should read 133 *known* cases of SARS deaths. It's not as if China has kept good records and released them.
4 posted on 04/13/2003 2:09:52 PM PDT by LPStar
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To: DeaconBenjamin
SARS Global Death Toll Hits 133 -- okay. But we have more people die every week on the roads of the US than: total US deaths in Iraq to date, plus SARS to date, plus random gun deaths every week combined. Just to put things in perspective.
5 posted on 04/13/2003 6:30:01 PM PDT by dark_lord
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