jim stated earlier in this thread that his conclusions are somehow based on "sampling." Sorry, but any conclusion drawn based on a sample from a corrupt data base is garbage. The Chinese have "revised" their reported numbers upward repeatedly. At one point seem to recall that they were alleging that there were no new infections in February. Now February is the peak period. There is little doubt that they knew that they were lying when they released their numbers. They are still jerking the WHO representatives around in rather obvious ways. Until evidence is presented it is reasonable to assume that the Chinese numbers are pure crap.
I can understand how a peak in Hong Kong is a possibility, they have done a good bit of epidemiology, and quarantine. No such efforts have been described in anything I have read for the rest of China. If jim bas a basis for believing that behaviors in rural China have been sufficiently altered to stop the spread of a disease that has spread to health care workers in isolation suites, wearing n95 respirators, gowns, and gogles I'd love to hear it.
The drop in new infections in Hong Kong is encouraging, however as noted by per loin this drop could be a result of a trough in a econdary wave of infections within a or otheer flucuation in a new infection curve that is still still on the rise.