* * * "Mortality rates are usually calculated on patients whose outcome is known," said Dr. Henry Niman, a surgery instructor at the Harvard/Massachusetts General Hospital. "(The CDC's number) would be accurate only if all patients hospitalized survived, which has not been the history of the disease in the more heavily affected areas."
Instead, some say the rate should be calculated by dividing the number of deaths by the sum of the number of deaths plus the number of people who recovered, which would exclude those people who are still sick, resulting in a higher death rate.
According to Niman's math, the death rate in Hong Kong would be 25 percent, in Canada 21 percent, in Singapore 15 percent and in Vietnam 10 percent. * * *
"The sky is falling ...." may be correct -- according to medical experts.
When you have your credentials to teach at Harvard Medical School and actually do so . . . I guess you will have the right to attack the journalists at Wired News ...
Actually, I have the right to disagree and demean their journalism any time I want!
And I still say it's fuzzy math regardless of who is doing it. When they figure out other mortality rates, do they use this method of excluding those who are sick but haven't yet recovered or succumbed? My guess would be no.
the articles don't do a good job of explaining his expertise; just because someone teaches at a medical school doesn't make them an authority among their peers or at-large.
looks like this guy is fairy well published in med literature, with a lot of work in oncogenes (cancer genes) and division rates of viruses.
niman seems to have the work to back up his opinions.....