[Tarsk]

"Possible? Not likely. You can always extrapolate figures to make things seem worse than they really are."

I draw your attention to point 2 in the above piece:

2) The rate at which cases are growing is currently about 3.5% PER DAY (divide today's reports by yesterday's). That means the number of cases doubles every 20 days or so. Usually, a scary rate like that doesn't persist for very long with a fatal disease. Well, so far we have been almost "spot on" as the British might say for the last 20 days.

[goldstategop]

And still NO fatalities in the U.S. The statistics have been collated for only 20 days. Its not an average sufficient to allow us to do crystal ball gazing of future projected outcomes since 1) we know little about the disease apart from its being caused by a coronavirus pathogen and 2) its not at all clear why some areas are experiencing recurring cases and in other regions its either stable or going down. We need to know a lot more before it can be established to a certainty we'll be looking at a 100 million cases of SARS within a year.

[Diogenesis]

The NEJM and other articles reveal that the death rate
increases by ~1.8 per decade of age of the individual afflicted.

Furthermore, impt. key questions remain including
how long "recovered" individuals shed virus (if they do),
how significant is the parallel cockroach vector system,
and what is the longest time of incubation (prob. > 10d).