To: Carry_Okie
MY LYING $10.00 CALUCATOR
As per your request, I do not shout anymore.
Yes I make up everything which I post with my little $10.00 calculator.
I am sure that the CDC, WHO or the Government is beyond such things. I list below what I made up with my calculator.
It has been reported, and it seems reasonable to me, that there are 50,000 deaths each year in the USA due to Influenza (Pneumonia). If this is the case then this follows by mathematics:
1. I assume that the worlds population is 6.0 billion (probably 6.4 billion, but just increase these numbers by 6.67% if you like).
2. If the worlds population is 6.0 billion, and if the USA has a population of 280 million, than the world has a population 21.429 times larger than the USA.
3. If the 50,000 figure for the USA is correct then:
4. Daily Cases And Deaths USA (Assuming a 5% mortality rate):
Daily: Cases 2739.720 and Deaths 136.986
Period 30 Days: Cases 82,191.600 and Deaths 2,739.720
Annual: Cases 999,997.800 and Deaths 49,999.90 (Rounding Again)
5. Daily Cases And Deaths World ( Assuming a 5% mortality rate). Probably need to increase these numbers by a factor of at least by 2 to 5 since the rest of the world has almost no health system:
Daily: Cases 58,709.460 and Deaths 2,935.473
Period 30 Days: Cases 246,574.800 and Deaths - 88,064.190
Annual: Cases 21,428,952.900 and Deaths 1,071,477.742
6. If as you suggest that the death rate is 0.01% and not the 5% which I choose as representative, then of course the number of deaths remains the same but the number of cases increases by a factor of 500. Therefore, these would be the numbers which my $10.00 calculator reveals for the Cases for the USA and the World:
Daily Cases: USA 1,369.860.000 World 29, 354,730.000
Period 30 Days: USA 41,095,800.000 World 123,287,400.000
Annual: USA 499,998.900 World 10,714.476,450.000
7. There is one unfortunate result if I accept your number of a 0.01% death rate. On an annual basis it would exceed the USA and World population by a factor of 1.785. Thats 78.5% more than the entire population of the USA and the World. Since I have not gotten SARS or Pneumonia recently, a lot of people are in Deep Do-Do if you are correct. In fact they can look forward to getting sick with this stuff a number of times, if my calculator is correct.
8. My suggestion to you all is to see how long you all can hold you breath.
9. Cheer-e-oh, you all.
11 posted on
04/26/2003 12:05:45 PM PDT by
ido_now
To: ido_now
Excuse me, what does your post have to with mine in #2 on this thread? All I said here was that the information in the article suggests that SARS has been confirmed to be the suspect coronavirus by laboratory experiment. That was news to me.
I don't specifically recall posting anything to you, nor have I posted an estimated death rate for SARS. Please explain.
13 posted on
04/26/2003 1:11:29 PM PDT by
Carry_Okie
(The environment is too complex and too important to be managed by politics.)
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