To: Lessismore
Let's see.. If the mortality rate is 25%, and I have two sons and an ex, then what am I hoping for??
LOL!
2 posted on
04/26/2003 7:32:50 PM PDT by
a_Turk
(Lookout, lookout, the candy man..)
To: Lessismore
Can't remember where I read it or how true it is but it said for some reason Americans overall appear to be somewhat resistant to this bug, that possibly it's already been here in some form and people in this country have built up an immunity to its effects.
Hope that story's true. I also hope they come up with a treatment pretty quick, it has the potential to kill millions the way it's mutating.
To: Lessismore
My analysis says the SARS death rate is much higher than widely reported.
I believe the various areas differ for two main reasons:
- Some areas have better/worse treatement and life-support facilities.
- Some countries choose to report only their more SERIOUS cases as SARS.
SARS Mortality Rates Based on World Health Organization data (Revised: 4/27am) |
Area |
Recoveries to date |
Deaths to date |
Recent** Death Rate |
|
Active Cases still in Danger |
Projected Future Deaths |
Projected Final Mortality |
Hong Kong |
632 |
121 |
12.9% |
|
774 |
100 |
14.5% |
Singapore |
126 |
21 |
16.1% |
|
51 |
8 |
14.8% |
China |
1285 |
122 |
28.2% |
|
1346 |
380 |
18.2% |
Canada |
77 |
18 |
20.7% |
|
47 |
10 |
19.5% |
World-wide |
2239 |
293 |
18.5% |
|
2304 |
426 |
14.9% |
** ( Deaths in the last 7 days) / ( Deaths + Recoveries in the last 7 days) |
Trend - Active Cases Still in Danger |
Date |
Hong Kong |
Singapore |
China |
Canada |
World-wide |
Apr 19 |
914 |
61 |
307 |
66 |
1616 |
Apr 20 |
893 |
64 |
497 |
66 |
1694 |
Apr 21 (est.) |
872 |
66 |
686 |
66 |
1771 |
Apr 22 |
874 |
60 |
708 |
61 |
1783 |
Apr 23 |
831 |
58 |
968 |
58 |
2005 |
Apr 24 |
812 |
55 |
1058 |
58 |
2059 |
Apr 25 |
781 |
50 |
1209 |
51 |
2169 |
Apr 26 |
774 |
51 |
1346 |
47 |
2304 |
(includes new daily cases... excludes cases resolved by death or recovery) |
My observations:
- Hong Kong 'might' be getting a handle on their problem.
- It's average new cases per day is smaller than cases resolved per day.
- It apparently has the best treatment rate.
- Singapore and Canada MAY be the close to controlling their active caseloads:
- Canada's higher death rate MAY be because more patients truly had SARS,
instead of something else like flu. - OR MAYBE Canada has poorer healthcare
- OR MAYBE Canada is ONLY reporting it's more-severe cases.
- China appears to be terribly out of control by every measure.
To: Lessismore
Man, this story just keepsagettin worser and worser.
To: Lessismore
Toronto mayor says not a thing to worry about, feel free to visit Toronto, no problems.
51 posted on
04/27/2003 2:21:11 PM PDT by
cynicom
To: Lessismore
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