Posted on 05/06/2003 12:02:45 PM PDT by BOBTHENAILER
I have realized the "flood the market" potential, I'm unfamiliar with the floor price concept. Is that part of either version of the Energy Bills.
Does it apply only to the producers selling through the Alaska line or across the board?
To be honest, I don't know what happened after the Senate passed it.
WASHINGTON -- Legislation to promote construction of an Alaska natural gas pipeline is cruising through Congress, so far with only muffled complaints that the financial incentives Alaska lawmakers say are needed to get the line built amount to unfair subsidies.
"Nobody is willing, it seems like, to buck the Alaska delegation," griped Forrest Hoglund, a Texan who heads a firm that wants to build a Canadian line and opposes incentives for the Alaska line.
Part of the incentives package he opposes sailed through the Senate Energy Committee on Wednesday as part of a wide-ranging energy bill.
The full Senate is scheduled to debate the bill early next week.
Gas line politics have created some unusual coalitions. The project is supported primarily by the Alaska delegation but also by Democrats and some environmentalists, who see it as a way of boosting domestic energy production without spoiling wilderness.
Sen. Lisa Murkowski, who sits on the energy committee, is focusing her arguments on the country's growing demand for natural gas. The country will need all of Alaska's gas and more, she says. The only way to get it is to build a pipeline, and that requires financial incentives, the argument goes.
Meanwhile, the Bush administration, the Canadian government, lawmakers from other gas-producing states and free-market advocates have misgivings. They say the incentives would be expensive and give Alaska gas an unfair advantage.
At least, that's what they said last year. This year, the opposition has been quieter.
"I don't think the opponents have melted off ... (but) there's not really a champion," said Keith Ashdown, spokesman for Taxpayers for Common Sense, which has been trying to find senators to oppose the incentives.
Hoglund, who favors the Canadian line, says lawmakers are reluctant to speak against the incentives the Alaska delegation wants. Don Young chairs the House Transportation Committee and Ted Stevens chairs Senate Appropriations.
"Quite obviously, they're steamrollering this through the Congress," Hoglund said. "Anybody who wants a highway or wants an appropriation isn't going to oppose it."
As it stands now, the energy bill includes loan guarantees of up to $18 billion of the $20 billion project. A more controversial incentive, a tax credit that would kick in if the wellhead price of North Slope gas falls below a certain price, is expected to be added to the bill on the floor.
Another incentive would allow the pipeline owners to accelerate the depreciation on the line from 15 years to seven.
Don Duncan, vice president of government affairs for Conoco Phillips, said the entire package of incentives is needed if the line is going to be built -- a proposition to which Alaska's gas producers haven't yet agreed.
The most controversial piece, the tax credit that would be phased in depending on the wellhead price, isn't very different from incentives the government already uses, such as one intended to keep marginal wells in production, he said. Those also apply only when prices sink to a certain level.
"Any Lower 48 (producer) that says Alaska is getting an unfair advantage -- they don't ever want to talk about these other things," he said.
Duncan also said the loan guarantees will mean lower interest rates for financing the project but are unlikely to cost the Treasury anything. Big companies like Exxon don't default on loans, he said.
Ashdown, an opponent of the incentives, said big companies might create a smaller company that would take the fall if the project failed, leaving the government paying the price.
"That's a tactic companies use all the time to hide from liability," he said.
Besides that, Ashdown said he's philosophically opposed to the notion.
"You're making the federal government guarantee the success of a private enterprise," he said.
The Senate bill does not include the other big Alaska energy proposal -- drilling in the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge. The Senate rejected the idea earlier this year.
The House bill does include ANWR. Once the Senate bill passes, the two versions will go to a conference committee to work out the differences. Even supporters of drilling in ANWR, though, say adding it would doom the bill in the Senate.
Mene
But, alas, the institute is no more. For many years it was funded, mainly, by a surcharge (tax) on transmission volumes assessed by interstate natural gas pipeline companies on services provided to NG distribution companies and others at rates regulated by the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC). Other, matching income came from producers, industry, and the DOE. However, In January 1998, FERC approved a settlement among the GRI, the regulated pipelines and their customers which phases out this surcharge over 6 years and eliminates it altogether in 2005. As the phase out progresses, the size of the surcharge will continue to shrink, creating an increasing shortfall in this aspect of R&D funding relative to the 1998 presettlement level. As a result, GRI was merged with the Gas Technology Institute several years ago and research is continuing at a much reduced level and mainly on projects showing a substantial chance of success. Basic research into future concepts and technology is much constrained, and the program is just a shadow of its former self.
In coming years the shortsightedness and consequences of the lack of research will become increasingly apparent with decreasing supply and reliability and increasing cost. Increased market cost will, of course, lead to others performing some research in specific areas, but I don't see a comprehensive, well rounded program in the future given the current situation and regulatory environment. So your conclusion that we may well face "a very scary pricing future" for consumers and industrial users is a very likely scenario.
I know that group well. They were very instumental in pushing for dual completions around 1990, in Northen Michigan Antrim wells we were drilling in late 80's throughout the 90's. At the time, most operators completed only the lower Antrim (cost saving), only after urging from GRI studies was the dual comp approach used and the increase in production was substantial.
They were also heavily involved in convincing a company with friends of mine, to horizontally drill an old (Crystal) Devonian oil field in between coned out areas. The first well almost blew out and is still making about 100 BOD after 5 some years. Later wells were not as successful and I remain convinced part of that is because reliance on GRI expertise was abandoned.
Great post on an organization that I would love to see revitalized. Now that I think about it, the horizontal experiment described above was repeated in many areas of the US as I recall, with some being quite successful and with GRI studies used in many. I also recall that DOE contibuted about 20% of the control well.
Increased market cost will, of course, lead to others performing some research in specific areas, but I don't see a comprehensive, well rounded program in the future given the current situation and regulatory environment.
You're right on the mark. The expertise will be internally generated and we all know how "close to the chest" operators will hold those discoveries and they will be regional and not as comprehensive.
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