[AntiGuv]

Except Gephardt picks up WV and Kerry picks up NH, according to Sabato.

[Torie]

OK, thanks. Kerry won't pick up NH however. And Graham and Edwards are going to lose Minnesota (in fact all the Dems will lose Minnesota in a tight race), as well as Wisconsin, Iowa, and Oregon, and maybe Washington.

[GraniteStateConservative]

Yeah, a state where more than 7 in 10 adults (probably 8 in 10 voters) support Benson's veto of our bloated budget will go for Kerry. [/sarcasm]. Sabato is clueless.

People don't realize how significant Shaheen's loss last year was. It was almost 100% because of Bush's popularity and she was a Dem titan who didn't come close to beating a guy half the state didn't even really know. If that continues, Bush wins the state easily.