That's my impression as well. Washington is quite likely to elect a Republican governor next year if the rest of the nation is clearly in recovery and Washington is not. Then, the burden of blame will fall on the state administration rather than the national economic situation. However, if the rest of the nation is still undergoing an anemic recovery - much less if it's in recession - then Washington is likely to reelect a Democrat, because the electorate leans Democratic & the burden of blame will fall on the national economic mismanagement.
Whatever the case, when people are confronted with the question - "Are you better off than you were four years ago?" - Washington's answer will be a resounding no, by all indications. According to unemployment projections, Washington is expected to peak as high as 8.5% - and that's assuming economic growth & corporate earnings pick up nationwide. Who is going to hire anytime soon in Washington? Boeing would rather get out; Microsoft has no apparent expansion plans; the tech industry overall is consolidating; Washington's service sector is considered overstaffed; and it's regulatory scheme unattractive.
In a presidential election, people usually blame or applaud the president for their local economic situation, regardless of whether he has any responsibility for that whatsoever.