Posted on 09/04/2003 11:48:12 AM PDT by varina davis
BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 4A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1 PM CDT THU SEP 04 2003
...DEPRESSION BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF COAST OF FLORIDA FROM ENGLEWOOD NORTHWARD TO INDIAN PASS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
AT 1 PM CDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE WAS RE-LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.8 NORTH... LONGITUDE 86.3 WEST OR ABOUT 150 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA.
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING EAST AT 5 MPH. A MOTION TO THE EAST-NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE DEPRESSION IS BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED AND COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.
MOST OF THE HEAVY RAINS WITH THE DEPRESSION ARE LOCATED WELL TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. THESE RAINS ARE ALREADY AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA GULF COAST. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE DEPRESSION.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE SOUTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.
REPEATING THE 1 PM CDT POSITION...27.8 N... 86.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...EAST NEAR 5 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 4 PM CDT.
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
The worst aspect is the flooding expected in already saturated counties in the central regions. The system is getting stronger, so ultimate intensity is still unknown, too.
I do, but it's pretty hard to boycott a TS -- lol.
They're all wet, too.
Still, I think it would be an awful assault on a guy's manhood if he had to file a claim about damages caused by something called "Henri."
Will try - it's been a little wet on the east coast! We'll hunker down and slug it out with Henri!
THE TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO WILL APPROACH THE FLORIDA PENINSULA FRIDAY AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS THE NORTHERN PENINSULA SATURDAY. DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE WILL FEED OVER THE PENINSULA AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM AND WIDESPREAD RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP. AT THIS TIME IT APPEARS THE MOST WIDESPREAD AND PERSISTENT DOWNPOURS WILL AFFECT EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA LATE FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY...BUT SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS OCCURRING AHEAD OF THIS TIME WILL ADD TO ANY ONGOING STANDING WATER PROBLEMS.
BASED ON THE LATEST FORECAST TRACK OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE...RAINFALL TOTALS THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON COULD REACH 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH UP TO 12 TO 15 INCHES IN SPOTS.
PERSONS IN EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA NEED TO BE READY FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF FLOODING THROUGH SATURDAY DUE TO THE TROPICAL CYCLONE. TAKE MEASURES TO PROTECT PROPERTY FROM FLOODING. PERSONS IN AREAS WHERE WATER IS ALREADY STANDING AND INUNDATION IS LIKELY SHOULD ACQUIRE SAND BAGS TO PROTECT HOMES. BE READY TO EVACUATE QUICKLY SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.
Scary! I'm in sodden Marion County, on a lake which is already lapping at my back door.
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