NEW FIELD POLL ON CA RECALL

Drudge Report ^ | Sept 9, 2003 | Field Poll

[RobFromGa]

Field poll to be released Tuesday:

YES on Recall 55% NO on Recall 40%

Alternative candidates: Bustamante 30% Schwarzenegger 25% McClintock 13% Ueberoth 7% Others in single digit

The Field poll then asked the ballot without McClintock

Bustamante 31% Schwarzenegger 33%

[Gritty]

Bustamante............- 30%
Schwarzenegger....- 25%
McClintock...........- 13%
Ueberoth...............- 7%
others (est)............- 6%
undecided(est).... - 19%
........................._____
total....................-100%

It's the huge number of "undecided" who will decide this contest.

[abigkahuna]

There are more registered democrats in Tom's district than there are Republicans. Tom is a State Senator, there is no way he can become speaker of the assembly. BTW, Dems control both sides of the aisle, thus the majority party will not vote for a minority party to hold that powerful post...

A very basic reading of Ca politics would point this out to you.

Having heard Tom speak the past few years on various issues, I am inclined to vote for him. I should be getting my absentee ballot tomorrow after sending in the app last week. Arnold has star power, but as a Governor, I do not think he has what it takes.

Bustamante? Yeah he could win, depends on turnout...would the state slip further into the morass. Remember we still have that wacky initiative process.

[ambrose]

yup. and they have the recall leading by a much wider margin..

[TheAngryClam]

I mailed in my absentee ballot marked McClintock this morning.

Arnold can eat me.

[ambrose]

It's the huge number of "undecided" who will decide this contest.

Would love to know the party affiliation of these undecideds...

[South40]

On another thread, someone compared some of these anti-Arnold comments with 5 year old kids playing a board game, and when they didn't like the rules or the way the outcome was shaping up, they would just knock over all of the game pieces.

Actually...I'm quite different. I'd love to see McC win. I think he'd make a great governor...much more so than Schwarzendude. I just don't think he can win and his polls numbers agree.

If he had a chance he'd get my vote.

Since it's abundantly clear HE HAS NO CHANCE I'll vote for whoever can beat the racist bustmante. And, as I've already stated, I think many others will too, which will result in Tom getting around 5% of the vote. That assumes, of course, that he stays in. Should he stay in when it's clear he has no chance to win he'll be just as responsible for bustamante's election as will those who voted for him.

[Stars N Stripes]

 

2003 SurveyUSA Election Polls
Sorted: Newest Data on Top	Last Updated: 8/26/03
CA Governor Recall	8/26/2003
Remove Davis	64%
Keep Davis	35%
Undecided	1%
Data Collected	8/23/03 - 8/25/03
Geography	State of California
Universe	591 Certain Voters
Margin of Error	4.0%
Client	KABC-TV Los Angeles
	KGTV-TV San Diego
	KPIX-TV San Francisco
	KXTV-TV Sacramento
CA Governor Replacement	8/26/2003
Schwarzenegger	45%
Bustamante	29%
McClintock	11%
Ueberroth	6%
Huffington	3%
Other	4%
Undecided	2%
Data Collected	8/23/03 - 8/25/03
Geography	State of California
Universe	572 Certain Voters
Margin of Error	4.2%
Client	KABC-TV Los Angeles
	KGTV-TV San Diego
	KPIX-TV San Francisco
	KXTV-TV Sacramento

[alwaysconservative]

Thanks! Sometimes it's hard to keep them all straight! Now, who has the inside scoop on why Ueberroth is running and what it would take to get him out SOON? His voters for sure would not go to Bustamante.

[KQQL]

Field poll has Cruz leading twice, but Survey USa has Arnold leading.........

[KQQL]

thanks ....I was looking for those numbers....so let;s see what they come with..

The Field poll then asked the ballot without McClintock
Bustamante 31%
Schwarzenegger 33%

[Stars N Stripes]

Yeah, should be interesting. I don't by the Field Poll one iota!

[RobFromGa]

Its hard to imagine the low number of Undecided voters-- only 2%-- in that last SurveyUSA poll.

[alwaysconservative]

The Field poll shows an astounding number of undecideds. The SurveyUSA poll showed "certain" voters, and only had 2% undecideds. That's a pretty big difference.

[Uncle Hal]

I agree with you completely. I will vote for the GOP candidate that is mostly likely to win. I will be getting my absentee ballot in the next few days but will hold off voting until election day. Arnold has run such a poor campaign that his numbers could sink further. I Have great fear that Cruz will get in. Then our worst fears would have been realized. If it looks like Cruz is going to get in I may vote no on the recall.

[jam137]

I'm not sure what to make of "Simon 8% (Left the race)." I wonder if the Field Poll people re-asked the question with Simon's name off of the list, since they re-asked the question with McClintock's name off the list.

[NYC Republican]

Actually...I'm quite different. I'd love to see McC win. I think he'd make a great governor...much more so than Schwarzendude. I just don't think he can win and his polls numbers agree. If he had a chance he'd get my vote. Since it's abundantly clear HE HAS NO CHANCE I'll vote for whoever can beat the racist bustmante. And, as I've already stated, I think many others will too, which will result in Tom getting around 5% of the vote. That assumes, of course, that he stays in. Should he stay in when it's clear he has no chance to win he'll be just as responsible for bustamante's election as will those who voted for him

Third party candidates, aka spoilers (which is what McClintock essentially will be here) historically poll higher well before the election than the election itself. When voters go to the polls, most of them do not want to waste their votes. I agree with you, Tom will get 5 - 10%, and that's enough of a margin, coupled with Ueberroth's figures, to make Cruz the Governor. Imagine the field day the Dems will have if they hold on to the Governorship?!?!

[Dave S]

if Tom isn't close to Arnold in polling a week before the election, he should step aside.

He better step aside before that. Absentee votes are going out this week and many people will have already voted by then.

[ambrose]

They polled only "certain voters"...

[hole_n_one]

I am supporting Tom, but if the numbers stay this way...I will vote for Arnold. I want to vote for the best man, but refuse to allow Bustamove to get elected.

It's almost become a dirty word....

Pragmatism

Not that there's anything
wrong with that.

[NYC Republican]

I agree with you completely. I will vote for the GOP candidate that is mostly likely to win. I will be getting my absentee ballot in the next few days but will hold off voting until election day. Arnold has run such a poor campaign that his numbers could sink further. I Have great fear that Cruz will get in. Then our worst fears would have been realized. If it looks like Cruz is going to get in I may vote no on the recall.

With the McClintock, Ueberroths, the "cheat factor", the 11th hour surprises, etc, we need all of the help we can get to defeat them. With 3 Republicans in there, in a primarily Dem state, it doesn't look good.