In a state-wide race, he would have much more time to raise $$$, paint Boxer as an extremist, and wouldn't have Arnold to go against... In a short race, with so many candidates, it's MUCH tougher for Tom to win, IMO.
In a state-wide race, he would have much more time to raise $$$, paint Boxer as an extremist, and wouldn't have Arnold to go against
He would also be better known after this race and the 2002 race. A run for the senate would thus be his third statewide race. If he drops out, Arnold does fund raising for him to provide the financial support for the campaign. Running in Kalifornia is not cheap.
Actually, since the media have no idea how to poll 130 candidates, these polls are meaningless. Someone with 30% could win the election. The truth is the opposite of what you stated.