CA: Poll bucks prior surveys, sees Prop. 54 winning

Sacramento Bee ^ | 09-26-03 | Stephen Magagnini

[Alia]

Proposition 54, which would restrict the state from collecting most racial and ethnic data, is leading among all ethnic groups -- and enjoys more support from people of color than whites, according to a poll released Thursday.

The poll -- described by its authors as the most comprehensive survey of voters of color ever conducted in California -- showed that likely Latino voters back Proposition 54 by the greatest proportion, 46 percent to 33 percent.

[Alia]

More data: A Multilingual Survey of California Voters

USC Annenberg's Institute for Justice and Journalism, Pew Hispanic Center, New California Media, The Tomás Rivera Policy Institute

Press Release: http://www.pewhispanic.org/site/docs/pdf/CAMultilingualSurveyNEWSRELEASE_FINAL092403_.pdf

Visual Presentation: http://www.pewhispanic.org/site/docs/pdf/CAVoterspresentation.pdf

Toplines (i.e., the questionnaire) http://www.pewhispanic.org/site/docs/pdf/TOPLINES-FINAL-9-24-03-v3.pdf

The full report:

http://www.pewhispanic.org/site/docs/pdf/MultilingualSurveyREPORT_FINAL[1].09.24.03.pdf

[KantianBurke]

bet Arnold's pissed about this.

[DoctorZIn]

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[eureka!]

Go54Go...

[ambrose]

This same polling firm found the recall losing bigtime. I'd suggest that they may need to go back to the drawing board insofar as proper sampling methods are concerned...

[Alia]

... and I'll bet he's got more pressing matters on his mind.

Nonetheless, I've no doubts a Governor Arnold will Do his JOB in supporting and enforcing Prop 54 when it passes -- unlike Davis, Lockyer (etc.) have done since passage of Prop 209. They said they didn't support it; and they wouldn't support -- even as elected governmental officials in the state of CA, and they DIDN'T.

[EternalVigilance]

I still think 54 is going to pass in any case.

[Mr Rogers]

Suspect you're right. Pity Arnold didn't throw his support behind it - would have made him much more palatable to conservatives while increasing the chance of passage.

Unfortunately, leadership requires sticking your neck out for what you believe - and Arnold either doesn't believe in Prop 54, or he's not a leader.

[Alia]

Everyone has heard of "Pew" polling data, etc. However, how many have researched the "USC Annenberg's Institute for Justice and Journalism" - Very much a worthwhile look into a hot bed of very interesting connections.

[EternalVigilance]

Well, fill us in!

[BJungNan]

Waste of time. A court will overturn it. It will be found to be unconstitutional on grounds of...

_____Fill in the blank_____

[Roscoe]

Schwarzemante and Bustanegger suffer a setback!

[AndyTheBear]

I have looked into this poll per another thread. It's complete hogwash. Not to say 54 won't pass (even a broken clock is right twice a day) but this poll will tell you about as much as throwing darts blind-folded.

[nickcarraway]

well, please, refer us to the other thread.

[AndyTheBear]

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/990078/posts

[Alia]

I haven't gone over it yet; but, yes, just reading the overviews? yawn.. their contention is minorities are too stupid to understand why the want to vote YES on 54; and Whites are too GUILTY to vote for it. It's the tired, same old from the same players..

[Alia]

I think this time, it will be quite different.

$48 billion in debt has a strange way of REALLY sounding the 'WAKE UP" and smell the rip-off roses....

[Alia]

Vanguard is a group that not only organized the anti-war protests in SF, but funds them, and protects them, finds the protestors lawyers, etc........ For example.

[Alia]

Darn. That was on Vanguard. Annenberg -- I gotta pull up my old data and compare it to their newer stuff. If you go to their website; the list of "endorsers" is near abouts the same as "Move-On. org" cast.

[Alia]

If Arnold is as smart as I hope he is... I hope he gives them a call, gets close, gets closer, gets data, and carries a taperecorder. :)