[dsc]

"On one hand, if the population of sexually active men in America also contains about 4% offenders, then celibacy probably isn't the problem."

It's really not that simple.

Even the Jay report admits that around 80 percent of the offenses were homosexual in nature. The real figure is probably closer to 99%.

The largest study yet done of men with SSAD reported that over 70% of them *admitted* to debouching underage boys. There's no way to prove how many of the other 20-something percent were lying, though experience tells me they all were.

That almost certainly means that the percentage of heterosexual priests who molested is much smaller than the percentage of heterosexuals who molest in the general population.

There's really not much point in comparing percentages of molesters among priests with SSAD and men in the general population with SSAD, as the Vatican forbids the ordaining of men with SSAD.

Further, we're dealing only with those who got caught. We have no idea how many were clever enough to keep their indiscretions a hundred miles from the flagpole.

It seems likely, though, given their shared disorder, that the number of men with SSAD who will pork a tender young boy if they think they can get away with it is roughly the same for both priests and the general population--around 100%.

[heyheyhey]

That almost certainly means that the percentage of heterosexual priests who molested is much smaller than the percentage of heterosexuals who molest in the general population.

This makes perfect sense and sounds true, yet I don't expect to see the comparison from the general media any time soon. It's time the Catholic Bishops should draw the right conclusions from the John Jay numbers and stop pretending not to notice the 800-tons gorilla in the middle of the room.