Posted on 05/09/2012 2:17:13 PM PDT by NYer
A new poll from Virginia, a key swing state, suggests that Evangelicals will help put Mitt Romney in the White House this November.
It has become a truism in recent years that Evangelicals are critical to our national elections. As New York Times reporter Erik Eckholm pointed out on April 14, Evangelicals accounted for nearly one-fourth of all ballots cast in recent presidential elections. Their lukewarm support for John McCain in 2008with many staying home on Election Day and upwards of 30 percent of their 18-29 year-olds casting votes for Obama (Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research)helped give the White House to the Democrats.
Republicans have feared that Romneys Mormonism will mean even fewer Evangelical votes for their candidate in November. They cite a November 2011 Pew Forum poll that found 15 percent of Evangelicals saying they would refuse to vote for Romney simply because he is a Mormon.
Of course, McCain in 2008 won 74 percent of the white Evangelical vote, and still lost. But several things are different this time around. Even a slight increase in the percentage of Evangelicals at the polls will have significant consequences. The Baylor Religion Survey estimates that Evangelicals are now one-third of the population, or 100 million people. An increase of only 1 percent at the pollsa million votersmost likely means a two-to-one advantage for Romney among those million votes, which could tip several key states against Obama.
Now there is fresh evidence that Evangelicals in swing states are more numerous than ever, and prefer Romney to Obama by a wide margin. A March 26-April 9 poll of Virginia residents conducted by the Institute for Policy and Opinion Research at Roanoke College found that 58 percent of the Virginia population is Evangelical, and white Evangelicals prefer Romney by a 36-point spread (65 percent to 29 percent).
Not surprisingly, Virginia Evangelicals are ambivalent about Romneys religion. More than twice as many Evangelicals as non-Evangelicals in Virginia (37 percent to 16 percent) think Mormons are not Christians, and 74 percent of the Evangelicals (vs. 61 percent of non-Evangelicals) say Mormonism is very different from their own faith. Sixty-one per cent of Evangelicals think the Mormon religion is not Christian or are unsure if it is Christian, compared to only 39 percent of non-Evangelicals.
Evangelicals have always considered Mormon religion very different from their own, but sometimes for the wrong reasons. For example, they typically protest that Mormons believe in salvation by good works. Some Mormons do indeed believe this, just as many Catholics and some Protestants believe they will be saved by being good Christians. Yet the Book of Mormon teaches salvation by Christs work of grace: There is no flesh that can dwell in the presence of God save it be through the merits, and mercy, and grace of the Holy Messiah (2 Nephi 2:8).
Yet Evangelicals have legitimate reasons to believe that Mormon beliefs are different from those of historic Christian orthodoxy. For while Mormons believe Jesus is now fully God, they do not believe he was always God. Nor do they believe in the Trinity and the traditional Christian doctrine that God created the world from nothing.
Despite these religious differences, a large majority of Virginia Evangelicalswho themselves represent a majority of Virginia voterssay they will vote for Mitt Romney, a Mormon.
But why? Why do an overwhelming majority of Virginia Evangelicals (79 percent) say that Romneys religion makes no difference in their voting for him? The answer seems to be that they have seen Obamas policies and dislike them. Sixty-six percent of Evangelicals (vs. only 50 percent of non-Evangelicals) disapprove of Obamacare. Evangelicals are just as worried about the economy and the deficit as non-Evangelicals. In fact, a majority of Evangelicals support the Tea Party (53 percent) while only a quarter (29 percent) of non-Evangelicals do. Seventy-nine percent of Evangelicals think the country is on the wrong track (vs. 66 percent of non-Evangelicals).
Evangelicals, then, will vote against Obama because of the economy and their suspicion that policies such as the recent HHS mandate requiring insurance to pay for abortions will threaten their religious freedom. They will vote for Romney because they think his policies will grow the economy without jeopardizing their deepest convictionssuch as their belief in traditional marriage as the bedrock of society.
(Contrary to the current opinion that Romney is losing the womens vote, 63 percent of Virginias Evangelicals are women, and they support him over Obama by a broad margin. This means that Romney will win the womens vote in Virginia, and probably other states with Evangelical majorities.)
If Evangelicals vote for Romney in greater numbers than for McCain in 2008and it appears that they mightit wont be the first time that Christians voted for an American president who was less than orthodox. After all, George Washington was a deist who usually referred to the deity in vague and impersonal terms. Thomas Jefferson believed the doctrines of the Trinity, atonement and original sin were essentially pagan, and rejected the possibility of miracles or resurrection. John Adams also denied the Trinity, along with most orthodox Christian doctrine, while holding to a Stoic-like resignation to fate. Lincoln and his wife attended séances, and William Howard Taft was a Unitarian who rejected the deity of Christ.
Christians who voted for these presidents showed they were looking for a Commander-in-Chief, not a theologian-in-chief. In this approach they echoed Martin Luther, who reputedly said, I would rather be governed by a wise Turk than by a foolish Christian.
Your post is a compilation of sophistries. You would vote for Heinrich Himmler if he were on the Republican ticket against Obama. I would not. You are the one obsessed, and with no moral or ideological core at all. None.
My dog could beat Obama in the general election. He’s toast.
And it only took you a couple posts to prove Godwin's Law as correct.
INBN
Oh, I picked Heinrich Himmler simply because he has a more credible resume that Bishop Willard Mitt Romney, and his malevolence had a narrower focus. I could as easily picked Trotsky.
Romney is culture of death. He is of a type, and one is as acceptable or unacceptable as another.
Hot Dog!
“My dog could beat Obama in the general election. Hes toast.”
I have to agree with GunRunner on this one, reaganaut. The idle, stupid statist will be replaced with a more diligent and sly statist. Some will call that an improvement.
Your boy Mitt is the Father of Homo Marriage. He denies it now, of course. The fact remains, he let it happen.
BS.
“Romney was a leading voice against gay marriage as Massachusetts governor. The courts legalized gay marriage in the state during his tenure, but he supported a constitutional amendment to define marriage as the union of a man and a woman.”
http://www.denverpost.com/politics/ci_20585167/romney-stands-by-his-opposition-gay-marriage
“Get off your belly.” LOL!
Thanks for a much-needed chuckle.
“Get off your belly.” LOL!
Thanks for a much-needed chuckle.
He ordered town clerks to issue licenses to homo couples well in advance of any law being passed. He caved, period. I live here, I watched it.
You seem to have anger-management problems.
We plan to vote for Romney in order to help the current Usurper pack bags and leave. We also plan to explain wherever possible to blockheads that their vote for ANYBODY BUT ROMNEY is a waste of time and will help the Big 0 win a second terror-reign.
If you don’t like it, tough toenails.
The crucial question is HOW TO GET RID OF THE CURRENT MESS and start America back on the road to recovery.
That’s *all* that matters.
Wasting time talking to you is really not what I planned but the more I think about it, If I keep you ....errr....entertained, the less you will do the same to other FReepers, so I'm taking one for the team here.
You might want to take the night off and cool down before you reply. You are obviously typing out of anger and frustration, and the whole time, I type and post out of knowing exactly where you will go next, so bring it. I can't wait for a reply. Tell me again how your doctrinal critical thinking is so superior and that I should scrap all I've thought about and agree with someone who has called me a nazi lover and told me my thinking is wrong, in two posts! I know, I know, you did it with the best of intentions and all, but ..blah, I'm bored and I'm sure you can't wait to type a reply, so go ahead. I'm off to bed but I'll get around to a reading it.....some day.
This so could have gone in another direction, but alas, you went "there" first so if you have gotten to the bottom of this post then I've probably saved a few other FReepers from your wrath and scorn.
Might be a little time for self reflection, hmmm....?
g'night.
I did not call you a ‘nazi lover’. I said you would find Heinrich Himmler an acceptable candidate as he had a better resume than Bishop Willard. He would be a ‘lesser evil’.
“Tell me again how your doctrinal critical thinking is so superior and that I should scrap all I’ve thought about and agree with someone who has called me a nazi lover and told me my thinking is wrong, in two posts!”
Oh my. Another irony.
The main guideline here is to "discuss the issues all you want, but do not make it personal."
Making the thread "about" individual Freepers, reading Freepers minds, attributing motives to a Freeper - all are forms of "making it personal."
Click on my profile page for more guidelines pertaining to the Religion Forum.
Just ran across this thread and was formulating a few responses in my head prior to running into your post.
Wow, a religious post.
Reading the contents, i sure am glad i don't visit the religious forum. Blood pressure being what it is.
LOL
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