No FRiend, Romney's defeat will have nothing at all to do with firing up Obama's base. It has everything to do with the Conservative base not turning out:
When has the Christian Right ever endorsed a pro-choice candidate? Without the Christian Right there is no success.
When has the South ever endorsed a Yankee candidate? Without the South there is no success.
When has there ever been a Conservative endorsement of a candidate that has damaged the RKBA?
Pro-life and RKBA are probably the most immovable principles OF ALL, and this mutt cannot even cover those, not to mention any of the rest. Like McCain only worse. I will not be suprised if Romney wins the election, I will be ASTOUNDED... Even with all of Obamas problems.
While most everything else you said in your post above rings true to me, I find the above statement lacking in realism.
People vote based on their passions. Unfortunately, mostly on what they can be persuaded to hate. The class warfare paradigm is a mechanism that stirs up the passions of hatred in the Democrat Base, and fans into life economic frustrations generally. The more intense the hatred is, the more intense the frustration is, the more likely the people will go to the polls.
A comparison would be in order.
Take for example if you had Ronald Reagan running for President. Here the class warfare stragegy would be useless, because Reagan was never a member of the capitalist elite. He was an actor, and governor of Calfornia, and not particularly wealthy. The left could not generate much animosity in his direction because he did not fit their mold as the enemy.
Compare that to Mitt Romney whose resume shows a Vulture Capitalist, who made his millions lining his pockets with treasures harvested from vunerable and failing business, 50 percent of which he left as a dead carcasses on the road. Everything about Romney's resume fits into the mold of what the Democrat base hates. A Republican fat-cat wall street connected lord of the money markets. To the degree they don't like him, to that degree will they be motivated to make the effort to go to the polls to defeat him.
I can't imagine a person that fits their definition of the capitalist enemy more perfectly than Romney. His nomination would surely energize the Democrat base.
But, as I said, I find the rest of your observations generally accurate.