[Poison Pill]

Obviously, it was NOT the same voters.

A marginal increase in black turnout can help a Democrat in certain states, but can't elect a Republican. Either Reagan voters did nothing for 25 years, or enough blue collar whites flipped in WI, MI and PA.

[srmorton]

GWB did get elected twice, narrowly in 2000 and by a more comfortable margin in 2004. I agree about the blue collar whites in the Midwest and PA, but you must have Christian white voters turn out to win Ohio and FL.