[John Jorsett]

Ping

[NormsRevenge]

Well, I'll be horn-swoggled!


DUMP DAVI$ & the Den of Socialists



GO SIMON

Tom McClintock for CA State Controller

[stalin]

the entire sample was weighted slightly to conform with census figures for sex, race, age, education, region and registration

What does that mean?

Sounds like they threw out results if they had more white folks than latinos according to the census and registration ?

People don't put their race on the registration form so how would they know how many to throw out.

[gubamyster]

You post some good articles regarding California, but please click on "California" under topics when posting so the articles appear under the CA forum.

Thank you.

[gubamyster]

ping

[jdontom]

I thank the polling was done in paid toilets....

[NEWwoman]

Bump and dump Davis.

[Bonaparte]

The Times' sin was not push-polling -- it was being too obvious about it.

[Gophack]

I hadn't seen this! Great post!

With Simon's new commercial, I think he's going to be moving up. We can get discouraged, we are within striking distance ...

Go Simon!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

[BlackRazor]

I think you'll find this interesting, in light of what you posted the other day.

[heleny]

Polling experts criticized the Times' projection that election turnout will favor Democrats by 13 percent, 53 to 40: four points more than Democrats' statewide registration advantage

So that's how the LAT inflated their poll numbers for all the democrats. Someone mentioned it on the first thread about the poll, too. I doubt that low turnout will necessarily help the democrats in a clean election, since they have such an unlikeable candidate. But, maybe the LAT is compensating for expected vote fraud in a low-turnout election.

I wonder whether the LAT "normalizing" method also had other unrealistic extrapolations. Lets say they normalized the Hispanic portion of responses to the census data of Hispanic people as a fraction of total population in the state instead of to the percent of registered voters who are Hispanic, which is lower but unknown. This would really help the democrats' numbers, too.