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7. SARAH PALIN (previous rank: 8) ... We're very skeptical that Palin will run, but her chances of securing the GOP nomination if she does are high. How can that be, given her falling approval ratings among Republicans? Consider Rep. Ben Quayle... [who] became the focus of the race, big-footing other candidates and splintering the opposition. Palin has the unique ability to do the same.

I disagree with the NJ's rankings, and don't know where they gets his information that Palin won't run. However, I do agree that she will become the focus of the media in the primary race, and will "big foot" the other candidates out of the race. I also agree with the Journal's staff that she will likely win the GOP nomination if she runs.

And BTW, in before the PDSers. I am going to try and be nicer this time.

Palin has already sewn it up. All she has yet to do is announce, and it'll be over. Four years ago, a number of hopefuls had already announced by this time. The reason why nobody has yet to announce this time is Sarah Palin.

They know that if she runs, they're just wasting their time and money. So they're waiting to see if she's in before they pull the trigger. It is fairly well known among the GOP pollsters (who have actual poll results, not results from polls "weighted" for the "larger number of Democrats than Republicans."

The accurate polls are weighted for the fact that GOP and Independent voters outweigh the Donkeys this time around by more than 2-to-1. Use those numbers when polling, and you see Palin right about mid-way between the polls form ABC/Gallup/Reuters/etc., and the 86% she drew here in the FreeRepublic poll.

Best estiamte, Sarah's at roughly 58% right now without yet having announced. Which is why nobody wants to be first in the GOP Pool. First one in is an absolute imbecile.

8^D