Yes, but again, you say “in spite of.” The D+5 is either a registration number or a 2012 number. It isn’t any real-world projection of who will vote. It’s lib hope.
So Trump will pull it out because the models are looking at 2012 and we are nothing like 2012.
Trump will pull it out cause he’s the agent of change, is the better candidate, and she’s immensely unlikeable. :)