[.cnI redruM]

Wrong. The election of a Democratic Pres. who would go on tv and make it an issue every night would significantly alter public opinion.

Also, if the Dems do well enough to get the White House away from an incumbant President, they will take the house by a good 20-30 seats as well.

[caltrop]

Most Congressional districts have been drawn to ensure the incumbent goes back to Washington if he wants to. Only about 35 seats are likely to be truly in play next year, for example. The chance the Democrats will take over the House in 2004 is tiny. The Presidency is a different story, however. The Democrats could win the Presidency with the shift of very few votes and, in particular, if Nader decides to sit it out or doesn't pull the votes he did in 2000.