SURVEYUSA POLL: U.S. House, KY 6th District Chandler(D) 54% v Kerr (R) 44%

surveyusa.com ^ | 01/27/04 | surveyusa

[KQQL]

U.S. House, KY 6th District 1/27/2004

Chandler (D) 54%

Kerr (R) 44%

Other/Undecided 2%

Data Collected 1/24/04 - 1/26/04

Geography KY 6th Cong. District

Sample Population 572 Certain Voters

Margin of Error 4.2%

[Torie]

There is only a 4% margin among likely voters. I suspect the relative support is also quite soft.

[wylenetheconservative]

Special elections always favor the GOP. The soft voters don't turn out for them. However, this district is pretty marginal and Chandler just got finished running for Gov. I don't like our chances here. Not a good omen going into the 04 General.

[aristeides]

Fletcher took the seat by 72% his last House race. Quite a swing.

[KQQL]

I just read that.....

[AuH2ORepublican]

One more thing: Chandler leads by only 50%-46% among likely voters: http://www.surveyusa.com/2004_Elections/KY0401276thcongdist.pdf

That "certain voter" thing sounds more and more like a gimmick.

[Clintonfatigued]

What about the state Republican party? Can't they afford to pay the security costs? Even if not, the U.S. Senators could use leftover campaign funds to cover the cost. Does this mean that the national leadership is writing off the race? Chandler's lead is based in large part on higher name I.D.

[toddst]

Doesn't look good for KERR !

Disagree, given Chandler's name recognition. Mrs. Kerr is well thought of and doing actually quite well at this point in a very short election run period. From here (Lexington, KY) it looks to me like she'll win by a fair margin.

[lasereye]

Not a good omen going into the 04 General.

This idea of a GOP landslide may be an illusion.

[graycamel]

Oh. I think that the poll question, the time of day people are contacted, etc, may have something to do with it, too. Those who are working may be more likely to vote one way. As for myself, I hang up on them. Ps, did more Reps or Dems sign up for the "Do not call" list?

[afuturegovernor]

I know, if we are going to win in 2004 we are going to have to fight for it. The liberals are angry and are going to put up a fight.

[Holden Magroin]

What makes you think Kerr is going to win? For Chandler to be doing so well after running a vicious anti-Bush campaign and looking like a guy settling for a consolation prize is stunning.