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Australian Election
vanity | 9th October 2004 | naturalman1975

Posted on 10/09/2004 12:47:55 AM PDT by naturalman1975

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To: Sapper26

Election 2004 Results Refresh Often!

Live Results and Predictions for the 2004 Australian Federal Election.

The Scoreboard

6.2% counted.
Last updated Sat Oct 9 07:05PM EST
Party %
Vote
Swing Won Likely Total In
Doubt
Change Predict
Liberal 41.3 +3.8 positive swingpositive swing 54 1 55 19 0
National 5.8 +0.2 positive swingpositive swing 11 1 12 1 0
Labor 37.2 -0.7 negative swingnegative swing 39 1 40 19 0
Greens 7.1 +2.2 positive swingpositive swing 1 0 1 0 0
Democrats 1.6 -3.7 negative swingnegative swing 0 0 0 0 0
One Nation 0.9 -3.4 negative swingnegative swing 0 0 0 0 0
Others 6.1 +1.7 positive swingpositive swing 3 0 3 0 0

81 posted on 10/09/2004 2:11:45 AM PDT by GAGOPSWEEPTOVICTORY
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To: naturalman1975

Does Howard run independently, or is his position decided by the majority? If he runs independently, when do those returns begin?

Again, sorry for the lack of knowledge. I appreciate you having the patience to educate me!


82 posted on 10/09/2004 2:11:49 AM PDT by Primetimedonna
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To: All

Greens may have lost their only lower house seat to Labor - first likely Labor gain.


83 posted on 10/09/2004 2:12:25 AM PDT by naturalman1975 (Sure, give peace a chance - but si vis pacem, para bellum.)
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To: GAGOPSWEEPTOVICTORY

Looking good right now.. 67Lib/Nat-40Lab-1G-3O


84 posted on 10/09/2004 2:12:47 AM PDT by GAGOPSWEEPTOVICTORY
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To: Primetimedonna

He runs at the same time.

The Prime Minister is a normal Member of Parliament (in this case the Member for Bennelong) and can lose his seat like any other MP.

The Prime Minister is not directly elected - rather he is the Leader of the Party that controls the House of Representatives.

It is theoretically possible for the Prime Minister to lose office, by failing to win his own seat, even if his party wins. It's unlikely - but it can happen.


85 posted on 10/09/2004 2:14:13 AM PDT by naturalman1975 (Sure, give peace a chance - but si vis pacem, para bellum.)
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To: naturalman1975

Isn't Labour supposed to gain seats, not lose them? Even though that doesn't mean they would win (thankfully), wasn't that the expectation coming in?

It would be so funny if Labour actually lost seats. Must be the Kerry effect. :-P


86 posted on 10/09/2004 2:15:48 AM PDT by Simmy2.5 (Kerry served in Vietnam. Really. Just as the Swift Boat Vets.)
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To: naturalman1975

Do you know what seat is his?


87 posted on 10/09/2004 2:16:03 AM PDT by GAGOPSWEEPTOVICTORY
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To: naturalman1975

Lib/Nat 25

ALP 8

swing to Lib/Nat of 2.75%


88 posted on 10/09/2004 2:16:31 AM PDT by Dundee (They gave up all their tomorrows for our today’s.)
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To: Simmy2.5

That was expected to start with, yes. It's looked less likely for a few days now.


89 posted on 10/09/2004 2:16:34 AM PDT by naturalman1975 (Sure, give peace a chance - but si vis pacem, para bellum.)
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To: GAGOPSWEEPTOVICTORY

The Prime Minister is the Member for Bennelong


90 posted on 10/09/2004 2:17:20 AM PDT by naturalman1975 (Sure, give peace a chance - but si vis pacem, para bellum.)
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To: naturalman1975

Once again, my thanks!


91 posted on 10/09/2004 2:17:32 AM PDT by Primetimedonna
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To: GAGOPSWEEPTOVICTORY

The Scoreboard

9.3% counted.
Last updated Sat Oct 9 07:14PM EST
Party %
Vote
Swing Won Likely Total In
Doubt
Change Predict
Liberal 40.8 +3.4 positive swingpositive swing 57 2 59 16 0
National 6.1 +0.4 positive swingpositive swing 12 0 12 1 0
Labor 37.3 -0.5 negative swingnegative swing 42 2 44 14 0
Greens 7.3 +2.3 positive swingpositive swing 1 0 1 0 0
Democrats 1.6 -3.7 negative swingnegative swing 0 0 0 0 0
One Nation 0.9 -3.4 negative swingnegative swing 0 0 0 0 0
Others 6.0 +1.6 positive swingpositive swing 3 0 3 0 0
Getting close to that magic number of 76.
92 posted on 10/09/2004 2:19:09 AM PDT by GAGOPSWEEPTOVICTORY
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To: naturalman1975

Lib/Nat 33

ALP 12

Ind 2

swing to Lib/Nat of 2.69%


93 posted on 10/09/2004 2:19:16 AM PDT by Dundee (They gave up all their tomorrows for our today’s.)
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To: naturalman1975

Wasn't Howard supposedly beaten badly in a debate?


94 posted on 10/09/2004 2:19:49 AM PDT by ambrose (http://www.swiftvets.com)
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To: All

ABCs expert thinks on current figures (still early), we'll end up with a similar result to last time - very few seats changing hands, government remaining in power.


95 posted on 10/09/2004 2:20:09 AM PDT by naturalman1975 (Sure, give peace a chance - but si vis pacem, para bellum.)
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To: naturalman1975

ABC has Lib/Nats - 68
ALP - 42
Other - 4

Channel 9 has Lib/Nat - 47
ALP - 22
Other - 2

76 seats needed for victory


96 posted on 10/09/2004 2:20:53 AM PDT by ozguy
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To: ambrose
Wasn't Howard supposedly beaten badly in a debate?

According to some experts, yes. I think he lost - but I don't think he was badly beaten.

97 posted on 10/09/2004 2:20:54 AM PDT by naturalman1975 (Sure, give peace a chance - but si vis pacem, para bellum.)
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To: naturalman1975

Bennelong

Last Updated: 19:12
Roll: 85,862
Votes counted: 16.5%
Booths Counted Primary Vote: 16/44
Booths Counted 2CP: 10/44
ABC Predicted final result: LIB RETAIN
LIB 53.0
ALP 47
4.8% swing to ALP
Primary Count
Name Party Votes % Swing
Bold identifies the Sitting MP
Gary Hannah IND 125 0.9 +0.9 positive swingpositive swing
Troy Rollo IND 82 0.6 +0.6 positive swingpositive swing
Andrew Wilkie GRN 2,256 17.0 +13.1 positive swingpositive swing
Ray Levick CDP 282 2.1 +2.1 positive swingpositive swing
Nicole Campbell ALP 3,863 29.1 -2.5 negative swingnegative swing
John Winston Howard LIB 6,502 48.9 -3.5 negative swingnegative swing
Peter Goldfinch DEM 175 1.3 -4.4 negative swingnegative swing
.... ONP 0 0.0 -2.7 negative swingnegative swing
.... NGS 0 0.0 -0.7 negative swingnegative swing
.... SAS 0 0.0 -0.2 negative swingnegative swing
.... OTH 0 0.0 -0.6 negative swingnegative swing
.... NCP 0 0.0 -0.1 negative swingnegative swing
.... UNI 0 0.0 -2.0 negative swingnegative swing
Informal 852 1.1
Total Votes 14,137 100
Progressive Count After Preferences
Name Party Votes % Swing
John Winston Howard LIB 2935 48.9 -4.8
Nicole Campbell ALP 2385 29.1 +4.8

98 posted on 10/09/2004 2:21:38 AM PDT by GAGOPSWEEPTOVICTORY
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To: GAGOPSWEEPTOVICTORY
Bennelong is Howards


99 posted on 10/09/2004 2:21:50 AM PDT by newzjunkey (Why are we in Iraq? Just point the whiners here: http://www.massgraves.info)
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To: GAGOPSWEEPTOVICTORY

Lib/Nat 36

ALP 13

swing to Lib/Nat of 2.63%


100 posted on 10/09/2004 2:22:24 AM PDT by Dundee (They gave up all their tomorrows for our today’s.)
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