Australian Election

vanity | 9th October 2004 | naturalman1975

[naturalman1975]

I hesitate to suggest this, as I am fairly new around here, but I have noticed that there is quite a lot of interest in the Australian eleciton, so I thought I would make an offer here. I will be watching the election coverage and if people are interested, as the coverage proceeds, I can post updates in this thread, so people can follow what is happening in Australia.

Just an offer. Coverage starts in 15 minutes.

Oh and if any other Aussies want to post updates as well, of course, I wouldn't object. It's just I can see interest.

[GAGOPSWEEPTOVICTORY]

Election 2004 Results ^{Refresh Often!}

Live Results and Predictions for the 2004 Australian Federal Election.

The Scoreboard

6.2% counted. Last updated Sat Oct 9 07:05PM EST
Party	% Vote	Swing			Won	Likely	Total	In Doubt	Change	Predict
Liberal	41.3	+3.8			54	1	55	19	0
National	5.8	+0.2			11	1	12	1	0
Labor	37.2	-0.7			39	1	40	19	0
Greens	7.1	+2.2			1	0	1	0	0
Democrats	1.6	-3.7			0	0	0	0	0
One Nation	0.9	-3.4			0	0	0	0	0
Others	6.1	+1.7			3	0	3	0	0

[Primetimedonna]

Does Howard run independently, or is his position decided by the majority? If he runs independently, when do those returns begin?

Again, sorry for the lack of knowledge. I appreciate you having the patience to educate me!

[naturalman1975]

Greens may have lost their only lower house seat to Labor - first likely Labor gain.

[GAGOPSWEEPTOVICTORY]

Looking good right now.. 67Lib/Nat-40Lab-1G-3O

[naturalman1975]

He runs at the same time.

The Prime Minister is a normal Member of Parliament (in this case the Member for Bennelong) and can lose his seat like any other MP.

The Prime Minister is not directly elected - rather he is the Leader of the Party that controls the House of Representatives.

It is theoretically possible for the Prime Minister to lose office, by failing to win his own seat, even if his party wins. It's unlikely - but it can happen.

[Simmy2.5]

Isn't Labour supposed to gain seats, not lose them? Even though that doesn't mean they would win (thankfully), wasn't that the expectation coming in?

It would be so funny if Labour actually lost seats. Must be the Kerry effect. :-P

[GAGOPSWEEPTOVICTORY]

Do you know what seat is his?

[Dundee]

Lib/Nat 25

ALP 8

swing to Lib/Nat of 2.75%

[naturalman1975]

That was expected to start with, yes. It's looked less likely for a few days now.

[naturalman1975]

The Prime Minister is the Member for Bennelong

[Primetimedonna]

Once again, my thanks!

[GAGOPSWEEPTOVICTORY]

The Scoreboard

9.3% counted. Last updated Sat Oct 9 07:14PM EST
Party	% Vote	Swing			Won	Likely	Total	In Doubt	Change	Predict
Liberal	40.8	+3.4			57	2	59	16	0
National	6.1	+0.4			12	0	12	1	0
Labor	37.3	-0.5			42	2	44	14	0
Greens	7.3	+2.3			1	0	1	0	0
Democrats	1.6	-3.7			0	0	0	0	0
One Nation	0.9	-3.4			0	0	0	0	0
Others	6.0	+1.6			3	0	3	0	0

Getting close to that magic number of 76.

[Dundee]

Lib/Nat 33

ALP 12

Ind 2

swing to Lib/Nat of 2.69%

[ambrose]

Wasn't Howard supposedly beaten badly in a debate?

[naturalman1975]

ABCs expert thinks on current figures (still early), we'll end up with a similar result to last time - very few seats changing hands, government remaining in power.

[ozguy]

ABC has Lib/Nats - 68
ALP - 42
Other - 4

Channel 9 has Lib/Nat - 47
ALP - 22
Other - 2

76 seats needed for victory

[naturalman1975]

Wasn't Howard supposedly beaten badly in a debate?

According to some experts, yes. I think he lost - but I don't think he was badly beaten.

[GAGOPSWEEPTOVICTORY]

Bennelong

Last Updated: 19:12

ABC Electorate Profile

Roll: 85,862

Votes counted: 16.5%

Booths Counted Primary Vote: 16/44
Booths Counted 2CP: 10/44

ABC Predicted final result: LIB RETAIN
LIB	53.0
ALP	47
4.8% swing to ALP

Primary Count

Name	Party	Votes	%	Swing
Bold identifies the Sitting MP
Gary Hannah	IND	125	0.9	+0.9
Troy Rollo	IND	82	0.6	+0.6
Andrew Wilkie	GRN	2,256	17.0	+13.1
Ray Levick	CDP	282	2.1	+2.1
Nicole Campbell	ALP	3,863	29.1	-2.5
John Winston Howard	LIB	6,502	48.9	-3.5
Peter Goldfinch	DEM	175	1.3	-4.4
....	ONP	0	0.0	-2.7
....	NGS	0	0.0	-0.7
....	SAS	0	0.0	-0.2
....	OTH	0	0.0	-0.6
....	NCP	0	0.0	-0.1
....	UNI	0	0.0	-2.0
Informal		852	1.1
Total Votes		14,137	100

Progressive Count After Preferences

Name	Party	Votes	%	Swing
John Winston Howard	LIB	2935	48.9	-4.8
Nicole Campbell	ALP	2385	29.1	+4.8

[newzjunkey]

Bennelong is Howards

[Dundee]

Lib/Nat 36

ALP 13

swing to Lib/Nat of 2.63%