[MJY1288]

Thanks for posting this

[TheEnigma47]

Now those are facts you'll NEVER get from the "elitist media".

[Agamemnon]

.In 1980, Ronald Reagan won the White House with just 86% of the Republican Vote. In 2000, Bush took 92% of the Republican Vote. In August, Bush had 88.4% of the Republican Vote. he now runs at 91.9%.

Few rememeber that John Anderson, defeated by Reagan in the primaries, ran as an independent and siphoned off some Reagan votes. Hence the likely reason for the 86% number for Reagan in 1980.

[suzyq5558]

Great facts!! this one everyone should read. I will go to bed tonight feeling joy in my heart!
four more years!
four more years
four more years!

[clintonh8r]

self-ping

[seastay]

there was a statistic that came out while back that said in the counties that Bush won last election against Gore, the murder rate was x10s less on the average. Not one demographic anybody should be proud of taking the lead on, but the democrats perhaps will pander to whom ever they can get....

[madison46]

ping

[silent_jonny]

In 2000, George W. Bush won the White House with just 9% of the Black vote. Kerry had 84% and Bush 12% of the Black vote in August. now, it’s 82% Kerry, 14% Bush, which is very good for Dubya

I'm certainly no expert, but somebody said a couple years ago that if W were able to win an extra 5% of the Black vote, it would devastate his Democratic challenger. 9% + 5% = 14%! (Goosebumps!)

[bear11]

This report did not say who dead voters are leaning towards.

Regardless of any good news for Dubya, please continue to work hard, folks, to get this man re-elected.

[jaycost]

None of the statistical comparisons from August to today work to prove this essay's hypothesis. They are all within the marginal error, which means that Dubya could have undergone no changes in the real world and normal statistical variation could have produced all these numbers.

Most people who consume polls fail to understand just how important the margin of error is. The margin of error for these August-Present numbers is such that we cannot draw any valid causal inferences. See the following for a more detailed argument:

http://jaycost.blogspot.com/2004/10/perfect-example-of-popular.html

I want Dubya to win as much as anybody, but this is just wishful thinking.

[Cicero]

Interesting. Bush is doing better than 2000 in every category except the white vote. There he's down by 1%. I don't know if that's statistically significant, but I've noticed that there's a lot of elite rich people for kerry. He gets the suburban vote and the vote of soccer moms who aren't yet persuaded that their kids are in danger.

[Seaplaner]

Interesting statistics, but I still have 2 worries.

Worry # 1. Multiple fraudulent voting by (who else?) democrats, and

Worry # 2. Vote counting fraud by (who else?) democrats.

There is a reason that dems favor motor-voter, the lack of a requirement for picture IDs in many states' polling places, ballots in foreign languages, and touch screen voting machines. They can't persuade the electorate with legitimate public discourse, so they cheat.