I'm not so sure. This strikes me as plausible. If we--or the Pakis --were to get UBL in the days just before the election, I think it could hurt the president because it would like we had him hidden and it was an election ploy. This prepares us for the possibility... I think that the Pakis have been searching high and low for UBL ever since those assassination attempts on their president. But it's true that there are some regions in which even they cannot go. Of course, that's the type of place UBL would flee to.
here is my prediction, Bush wins election, december OBL is found, january cache of WMD found. Bush is redeemed, elections go smooth in Iraq. how more poetic could it be?
Find him, kill him and hang him up like Mussolini, and let the 'rats have their fun.