Agreed. If he really believed this line, he'd be stocking up on Tradesports contracts on Osama capture. You could earn something like 7 or 8 to 1 on the proposition that Osama is captured/neutralized by the end of the year!
He was SECNAV when I was in the Army and seemed to be pretty sharp. I never had a bad word to say about him until this so called Commission.