[Hermann the Cherusker]

And so begins another weeks/six days cycle.

Saw this: "Rasmussen said yesterday he expected his poll to match Zogby by Wednesday."

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1257476/posts?page=2#2

No kidding.

Bush 43.7/48.3/51.4, Kerry 47.5/47.8/48.1 for Sa/Su/Mo samples.

So tomorrow, the bad Saturday sample goes away, and it will be something like Bush 49-Kerry 47.

Take it to the bank!

Will he ever show Bush above 50 before 11/1? Stay tuned!

[Hermann the Cherusker]

Oops! That should be 48.1/47.8/47.5 for Kerry, not the other way around.

[rocklobster11]

Wherever you are getting your numbers from for individual days is incorrect. Rasmussen explicitly stated yesterrday that each of the three days of polling had Kerry in the lead. Thus Sunday was not 48.3-47.8 in favor of Bush. I'm betting it was very close to a tie with a very slight Kerry lead.

Someone must be calculating these daily numbers, because I see the same numbers repeated over and over, but they are incorrect.

[Rokke]

Rasmussen is just too easy. Here was my prediction for today from yesterday....

What do I expect tomorrow...Bush almost always outpolls Kerry on Mondays. His 2 day average moving into tomorrow is 46%. Kerry's is 48%. Tomorrow, I expect both candidates to poll roughly even at 47%. But more importantly, by Friday, I expect Bush to be ahead by 2%.

I show the raw data today to be 43.7/48.3/51.4 Bush, 48.1/47.8/47.5 Kerry. Tuesday's are usually good polling days for Kerry, so tomorrow will probably remain close to a draw. In related news, since Zogby is leaking his daily numbers it is easy to predict his outcomes. He's had Bush at 49/51/46 Bush, 46/43/48 Kerry. Today's Zogby rolling average shows Bush 49 Kerry 46. That translates to a raw data day of 51 Bush, 47 Kerry. Amazingly similar to Rasmussen. And I just read that Rasmussen said his poll will look like Zogby's later this week. Do you think they are in cahoots?