Before all these polls and when there was just Gallup, if candidate reached 50%, it was all good. Bush has done that on a number of occassions. Kerry has bad internals in these polls, and believe it or not, I believe the Weekly Reader poll. Those kids reflect the parents. Parents seem to be strongly for Bush.
JMHO
The weekly reader poll is correct, and it matches the polling that shows that Bush leads by a good margin with married people while Kerry leads with singles. The question is how the turnout will be with married vs. single people.