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Harvard Students Predict Hagel Presidency In 2008
AP via Yankton Press and Dakotan ^ | 1/11/05 | anonymous

Posted on 01/13/2005 2:23:00 PM PST by tellw

LINCOLN, Neb. (AP) -- Four years from now, if some Harvard students' predictions turn true, Sen. Chuck Hagel will be preparing for his presidential inauguration.

That's according to a group of students tasked with researching this past presidential election and looking forward into the next election cycle.

Student authors Miriam Barhoush, Kevin Bourke, Amanda Coe and Paul Scott, predict Hagel will win the White House over Democratic Sen. Evan Bayh, of Indiana. Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney will be the Republican's running mate and Mark Warner, currently governor of Virginia, will be the Democratic counterpart.

The students wrote the paper for the course, "Driving Forces in American Politics," taught by David Gergen and Elaine Karmack at the John F. Kennedy School of Government. Karmack served in the Clinton White House and Gergen has worked for Nixon, Ford, Reagan and Clinton.

Hagel spokesman Mike Buttry called the exercise "interesting."

"We'll probably see a lot of projects like this over the next four years," Buttry said Monday.

Hagel has not said whether he'll run for president in 2008.

The students predicted Hagel will have to overcome his largest obstacle -- name recognition -- to win the nomination over Senate Majority Leader Bill Frist and Colorado Gov. Bill Owens.

These students say Hagel will win the primaries because he represents "the quintessential New Hampshire candidate (with) unquestioned credentials on defense and fiscal management."

Not all Republicans may back Hagel as nominee, the students cautioned.

"His reputation as a maverick could hurt him with rank-and-file Republicans who strongly support the current administration," the study read.

But Hagel could attract some middle-of-the-road voters, the students wrote.

"Hagel's straight talk will win over moderate voters and those who feel that our foreign policy warrants better management," they wrote.

Popular with moderate voters themselves, Sen. John McCain, R-Ariz. and current Secretary of State Colin Powell will endorse Hagel in the New Hampshire primary and he'll become "the anti-establishment candidate," the students wrote.

He'll even collect his nomination near his home state, they predict. The students suggest that the 2008 Republican convention will be held in Kansas City, Mo.


TOPICS: Extended News; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2008; electionpresident; gergen; hagel; predictions
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Well if it's from Harvard it has to be correct
1 posted on 01/13/2005 2:23:00 PM PST by tellw
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To: tellw

He'd never win the primary. No chance at all.


2 posted on 01/13/2005 2:26:05 PM PST by Huck (I only type LOL when I'm really LOL.)
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To: tellw
His reputation as a maverick liberal.
3 posted on 01/13/2005 2:26:43 PM PST by Huck (I only type LOL when I'm really LOL.)
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To: tellw

Waaaaayyyy too much dope.


4 posted on 01/13/2005 2:27:02 PM PST by facedown (Armed in the Heartland)
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To: tellw

Oh no!!!!

I like Evan Bayh much more than Hagel. I think Bayh would win my vote over that traitor Hagel. In fact, I think Bayh is more Republican than Hagel (LOL)

I doubt Hagel would make it out of the republican primary though.


5 posted on 01/13/2005 2:27:18 PM PST by Republican Red (DU: ''Reality sucks. That's the problem. We want another reality.'')
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To: tellw

Heck - if that's the case I'll vote for a real Dem.


6 posted on 01/13/2005 2:27:31 PM PST by oldbill
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To: tellw

Any word on why the MSM loves this guy, and why so early? My bias-alert meter is pegged.


7 posted on 01/13/2005 2:27:52 PM PST by 1rudeboy
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To: tellw

Hagel will be pulling Kucinich-like numbers in the primaries. Once again Harvard shows how out-of-touch it is.


8 posted on 01/13/2005 2:28:49 PM PST by inkling
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To: tellw

I shouldn't read FR headlines when I'm drinking orange juice.


9 posted on 01/13/2005 2:29:06 PM PST by snarks_when_bored
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To: tellw

Hagel is not a team player. W's administration will make sure he doesn't get out of the starting gate.


10 posted on 01/13/2005 2:30:05 PM PST by peyton randolph (CAIR supports TROP terrorists)
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To: 1rudeboy
Any word on why the MSM loves this guy

Why else, he bashes the President on a daily basis.

11 posted on 01/13/2005 2:30:05 PM PST by Republican Red (DU: ''Reality sucks. That's the problem. We want another reality.'')
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To: 1rudeboy

For the same reason they like McCain. He's a saddle burr.


12 posted on 01/13/2005 2:30:19 PM PST by Eric in the Ozarks
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To: snarks_when_bored

Harvard people should get credit for this. They are wise and logically, and this is obviously a flawless prediction.









Not.


13 posted on 01/13/2005 2:30:24 PM PST by The Teen Conservative (Taglines really get me worked up to write something in them for nothin', y'know?)
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To: tellw
It's a realistic scenario if we aren't effective in getting the warnings out about the Senator from France. I do think Hagel's in-person demeanor can be a little Kerry-ish, as opposed to the McCain straight talk smilin' stuff that people liked. Hagel's better at pandering to his masters in the MSM than he is at speaking to real people, at least that's my impression from afar.

Any analysis that doesn't mention George Allen ain't worth lookin at tho.

14 posted on 01/13/2005 2:30:25 PM PST by JohnnyZ ("Thought I was having trouble with my adding. It's all right now." - Clint Eastwood)
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To: Huck

Assuming Mitt Romney runs for President, I don't see how he loses to Hagel in the New Hampshire Primary. If Jeb Bush and Giuliani are running as well, Hagel is lucky to finish in 3rd.


15 posted on 01/13/2005 2:30:40 PM PST by tellw
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To: tellw

I'm guessing they mean that the Senator who represents France will become the President of France.


16 posted on 01/13/2005 2:30:56 PM PST by vbmoneyspender
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To: Republican Red; Eric in the Ozarks

How transparent. How pathetic.


17 posted on 01/13/2005 2:31:37 PM PST by 1rudeboy
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To: tellw

Did they forget about George Allen?

I'd put money on Allen vs. Bayh in 2008, Bayh's problem is that he's a great general election candidate, but he's not liberal enough to get nominated. Allen is the perfect all around candidate and will IMHO win in 2008.


18 posted on 01/13/2005 2:32:06 PM PST by 1LongTimeLurker
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To: snarks_when_bored

Just be thankful it wasn't milk!


19 posted on 01/13/2005 2:33:07 PM PST by gimmebackmyconstitution (join my alert list:Hillarysnightmare@hotmail.com)
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To: 1rudeboy

He's anti-Bush, and anti-conservative. The same as his mentor, McCain. And you know what the media thinks of McCain.


20 posted on 01/13/2005 2:33:15 PM PST by Alas Babylon!
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