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To: Knitting A Conundrum

Repeating response post from soundpolitics:

This is great news but one piece is missing and that is whether the proportional analyis will be broken down by county or by precinct.

I think the precinct level is very important as there is news that democrat party operatives have found unverified provisional ballots in or near Pullman. These could attributed to students who may have voted overwhelmingly for Gregoire.

Should the analysis be carried out at the county level, these provisionals could be unfairly weighted towards Rossi whereas if they are carried out at the precinct level, they could be weighted towards Gregoire.

In my opinion it should be common sense to think the precinct level is the more 'coarse' level that tends toward a more accurate analysis.

FREEPERS please discuss this here because county or precinct level analysis will be a key issue now.


8 posted on 05/02/2005 10:00:54 AM PDT by Hostage
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To: Hostage
In my opinion it should be common sense to think the precinct level is the more 'coarse' level that tends toward a more accurate analysis.

It is less coarse -- and your intuition is correct. The least accurate approach is to weigh each precinct as the state went, more accurate to weigh each precinct as its county went, and still more accurate to weigh each precinct as it went - assuming the number of uncounted ballots is a small fraction of the precinct ballot total.

67 posted on 05/02/2005 10:39:47 AM PDT by Cboldt
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To: Hostage

"there is news that democrat party operatives have found unverified provisional ballots in or near Pullman."

What do these D-rats do.....steal and hide sufficient numbers of votes, real or faked, that can be 'found' whenever needed, to back up their numbers?


75 posted on 05/02/2005 10:48:26 AM PDT by spoiler2
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To: Hostage
In my opinion it should be common sense to think the precinct level is the more 'coarse' level that tends toward a more accurate analysis.

Right you are about precincts v. counties, but don't you mean precincts are more a 'fine' gradation rather than 'coarse'?

106 posted on 05/02/2005 11:21:16 AM PDT by Carry_Okie (There are people in power who are truly evil.)
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To: Hostage

It should be fairly easy for the Republican lawyers to challenge that the results from specific a precinct, surrounding Pullman would be Democrat, rather than Republican. It is also possible that students, who were registered in other counties, voted in Pullman on provisional ballots. I have heard it mentioned many times that a lot of the college students didn't even know that they had to vote in their home town.


110 posted on 05/02/2005 11:22:47 AM PDT by Eva
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