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Tropical Depression #18
NOAA - NHC ^ | 17 September 2005 | NOAA - NHC

Posted on 09/17/2005 8:09:31 PM PDT by NautiNurse

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To: SouthTexas

Maybw. It's definately something to keep our eye on huh?


81 posted on 09/18/2005 5:22:18 AM PDT by CindyDawg
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To: CindyDawg

I was looking at the models on WU. 3 of 4 pointing to Texas. The 4th just a little low towards Mexico. I'm going to have to really watch early because I'll have to get my horses out of here if we end up in the cone and could wind up going towards the storm instead of away from it. People and their pets, huh?


82 posted on 09/18/2005 5:51:59 AM PDT by CindyDawg
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To: dogbyte12

Can't recall the last time they diverted recon from one storm to investigate a different storm.


83 posted on 09/18/2005 6:00:54 AM PDT by NautiNurse (The task before us is enormous, but so is the heart of America.)
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To: JoeSixPack1
Our local weather guy did a simulation of what would happen if we got a "katrina" type storm. Evidently our shores slope about the same and he was talking about flooding as far in as San Benito and Olmito.
84 posted on 09/18/2005 6:59:16 AM PDT by CindyDawg
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To: CindyDawg

Looking like it. Haven't seen the other modeling yet, but NHC shows it coming straight across the Gulf.


85 posted on 09/18/2005 7:11:47 AM PDT by SouthTexas
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To: NautiNurse

Well, the way they portray it, looks like a Mexico/Texas 'Cane. But if I were anywhere along the gulfcoast right now, I would not return for a few weeks or I would have my stuff packed and ready to roll.

This one and now Phillipe, which looks like he will just turn right and head out into the open sea.


86 posted on 09/18/2005 7:13:03 AM PDT by kx9088
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To: CindyDawg

Saw the computer tracking right after I posted. Looks like they are taking the shotgun approach to forecasting for now. ;)


87 posted on 09/18/2005 7:18:03 AM PDT by SouthTexas
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To: SouthTexas

We've got a strong ridge developing over Houston, TX...if it holds this soon to be hurricane will hit Mexico, if not well...

88 posted on 09/18/2005 7:29:21 AM PDT by shield (The Greatest Scientific Discoveries of the Century Reveal God!!!! by Dr. H. Ross, Astrophysicist)
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To: shield
Either way, time to prepare.

Mom always used the Richelieu Hotel as an example of what NOT to do in a hurricane, now we have a new example. Just told grandsons "this ain't New Orleans", get busy picking up and when you go home, pick up there too. :)

89 posted on 09/18/2005 7:40:46 AM PDT by SouthTexas
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To: CindyDawg

The new forecasts have it dropping a few degrees south. Let's hope for the best! :-)

PS: ever hear the Big Al and Charlie radio show down there?


90 posted on 09/18/2005 7:46:19 AM PDT by JoeSixPack1
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To: CJ Wolf

Same place as the others! Seems like the only thing in the news these days are hurricanes.


91 posted on 09/18/2005 7:48:01 AM PDT by tob2 (Old Fossil and Proud of It!)
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To: JoeSixPack1

I usually only listen to KTEX. Who are they? What station?


92 posted on 09/18/2005 7:54:35 AM PDT by CindyDawg
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To: aberaussie; Alas Babylon!; Alia; alnick; Amelia; asp1; AntiGuv; Bahbah; balrog666; blam; Blennos; ..

Statement as of 11:00 am EDT on September 18, 2005

...Depression organizing as it nears the Bahamas...
...Hurricane Watch issued for the Florida Keys...
At 11 am EDT...1500z...a Hurricane Watch is issued for all of the
Florida Keys from Ocean Reef southward and westward to Dry
Tortugas...including Florida Bay.
A Hurricane Watch remains in effect for the northwest Bahamas.

93 posted on 09/18/2005 7:55:13 AM PDT by NautiNurse (The task before us is enormous, but so is the heart of America.)
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To: NautiNurse

I want to see what the latest models do. BAMM which ran at 8EDT this morning has it more northward along the Texas Louisiana border, the other older models are further south. Let's hope that ridge pulls it down to Mexico like they think.


94 posted on 09/18/2005 7:59:13 AM PDT by dogbyte12
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To: CindyDawg

KFRQ. Morning rock station knucklehead tag team. :-)


95 posted on 09/18/2005 8:01:09 AM PDT by JoeSixPack1
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To: SouthTexas

Appears track has changed northern Mexico South Texas.


96 posted on 09/18/2005 8:03:52 AM PDT by shield (The Greatest Scientific Discoveries of the Century Reveal God!!!! by Dr. H. Ross, Astrophysicist)
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To: NautiNurse

Well, hell. I was more worried about the one further to the east. Guess I was wrong.


97 posted on 09/18/2005 8:04:22 AM PDT by Dog Gone
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To: Dog Gone

During MTP interview this morning, Thad Allen emphasized the weakened state of NOLA levees in the event of another storm; that they are developing revised evac plans. He omitted the news of TD 18 poised to enter the GOM.


98 posted on 09/18/2005 8:09:34 AM PDT by NautiNurse (The task before us is enormous, but so is the heart of America.)
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To: Dog Gone

This one's a heads up. Ridge parked over Houston is forecast to move a bit west by weeks end. This should be interesting. Cat 2 or Cat 3 when it hits...


99 posted on 09/18/2005 8:10:32 AM PDT by shield (The Greatest Scientific Discoveries of the Century Reveal God!!!! by Dr. H. Ross, Astrophysicist)
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To: JoeSixPack1

Actually the models have it going more NW now in the direction of south Texas....


100 posted on 09/18/2005 8:11:10 AM PDT by My Favorite Headache ("Scientology is dangerous stuff,it's like forming a religion based around Johnny Quest and Haji.")
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