[John Lenin]

Cyclical pattern

The new data shows a cyclical pattern of hurricane activity that repeats every few decades.

The 1850s to mid-1860s were quiet, followed by an intense period from the late 1860s to 1900, with five seasons of 10 or more hurricanes. The year 1886 was the busiest season on record in the US, with seven hurricanes hitting the coast. And after a lull, the storms raged again in the 1930s, 40s and 50s.

"It does confirm there are cycles of activity, rather than long-term trends towards more or stronger storms," says Landsea. That database also reveals that states such as Georgia that were largely spared during the 20th century remain at risk

[A message]

Thanks for link, I always enjoy learning.

NOAA researchers are not the only ones re-analysing hurricanes. Kwok Fai Cheung of the University of Hawaii at Manoa, in Honolulu, has started using newly developed hurricane-forecasting models to simulate storms that have hit the coast of New England in the past 500 years.

And I still ask the question, that say between AD 33 and AD 50, how many category 5 hurricanes struck the east and southern coast of this continent. Was it 0, 1, or 12.

No one alive at the moment can provide concrete data on that.

Assumptions can be made and models extrapolated, but the indisputable fact is we do not know how many hurricanes and of what strength came ashore during that particular time period, or any other time period before we began maintaining exact data.

To say human caused global warming is now the cause of the current hurricanes hitting us the past few years, in a frequency and strength that has never before occurred is balderdash.