Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

This thread has been locked, it will not receive new replies.
Locked on 10/19/2005 9:04:23 PM PDT by Admin Moderator, reason:

New thread: http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1505673/posts



Skip to comments.

Hurricane Wilma Live Thread (As of 2:30 am EDT, Wilma is a Category 5 with 175-mph winds )
NHC - NOAA ^ | 18 October 2005 | NHC - NOAA

Posted on 10/18/2005 7:40:22 AM PDT by NautiNurse

click here to read article


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-4041-6061-80 ... 1,181-1,200 next last
To: NautiNurse

It's building strength, alright. Thanks for the notice, NN.


21 posted on 10/18/2005 7:54:47 AM PDT by Alia
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: NautiNurse

It's building strength, alright. Thanks for the notice, NN.


22 posted on 10/18/2005 7:54:51 AM PDT by Alia
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: blam

"Not this $#!+ again!"


23 posted on 10/18/2005 7:55:32 AM PDT by Travis McGee (--- www.EnemiesForeignAndDomestic.com ---)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 18 | View Replies]

To: NautiNurse

NN,

I bet you are getting tired of starting these hurricane live threads...


24 posted on 10/18/2005 7:57:00 AM PDT by GreenLanternCorps (5-1 Marvin and Carson rule!!! Who Dey! Who Dey! Who Dey Think Gonna Beat Dem Bengals!!!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: NautiNurse
And the 11 am discussion; it sounds like Wilma will remain a hurricane all the way across Florida (yikes!) -

Hurricane Wilma Discussion Number 12

Statement as of 11:00 am EDT on October 18, 2005

Wilma is being upgraded to a hurricane based on subjective Dvorak
classifications of t4.0 from all agencies...and objective T numbers
from UW/CIMSS of t4.5 since 09z. Another reconnaissance aircraft is
scheduled to be in the system this afternoon. Cold convection is
being maintained over the center...and strong upper-level outflow
channels continue to the northeast and southwest of the center.
Oceanic heat content ahead of Wilma is high. The only inhibiting
factor is the dry air mass in the Gulf and extreme northwestern
Caribbean...but the large and growing circulation of Wilma should
be able to keep much of this air from reaching the core. A high
likelihood of rapid strengthening is indicated by the SHIPS rapid
intensification index...and it is likely that Wilma will be a major
hurricane when it enters the southeastern Gulf of Mexico. As Wilma
accelerates northeastward late in the forecast period...wind shear
is forecast to increase...but there may not be enough of it to
weaken Wilma very quickly. However...it is Worth remembering that
there is little skill in long-range intensity forecasts.
The initial motion is estimated to be 320/5.  There has been little
change to the track forecast thinking.  The mid- to upper-level low
that had been off the Southern California coast is now moving
northeastward...and as it progresses high pressure over the Gulf of
Mexico is expected to weaken...allowing Wilma to move through the
northwestern Caribbean and enter the southeastern Gulf of Mexico in
about three days.  Once Wilma moves north of the subtropical ridge
axis and encounters mid-level westerly flow...an acceleration
northeastward is expected.  Model guidance has not changed much and
remains in very good agreement...and the official forecast is very
similar to the previous advisory and close to the dynamical model
consensus.
Wilma...the 12th hurricane of the season...ties the record for most
hurricanes in a season set in 1969.
 
Forecaster Franklin
 
 
forecast positions and Max winds
 
initial      18/1500z 16.5n  80.6w    65 kt
 12hr VT     19/0000z 17.0n  81.2w    75 kt
 24hr VT     19/1200z 17.7n  82.3w    90 kt
 36hr VT     20/0000z 18.5n  83.5w   100 kt
 48hr VT     20/1200z 19.6n  84.5w   105 kt
 72hr VT     21/1200z 22.0n  85.5w   105 kt
 96hr VT     22/1200z 24.0n  84.0w   100 kt
120hr VT     23/1200z 28.5n  78.5w    75 kt

25 posted on 10/18/2005 7:57:57 AM PDT by steveegg (Tagline withheld until we know whether Miers will be a younger O'Connor or Roberts' soulmate)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: NautiNurse

I heard from some weather wonk last night that this late in the season a storm going into the Gulf from this area tends to hook to the right and weaken. Here's hoping :)


26 posted on 10/18/2005 7:58:59 AM PDT by mewzilla (Property must be secured or liberty cannot exist. John Adams)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: NautiNurse

Thanks for the ping, NN. Being near Ocala, looks like I'm north of the projected path. I'd feel a lot better if my new roof was finished. My son-in-law says "one more day".


27 posted on 10/18/2005 8:04:24 AM PDT by Alice in Wonderland
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: mewzilla

I like your optimism :)


28 posted on 10/18/2005 8:04:58 AM PDT by Guenevere (God bless our military!...and God bless the President of the United States!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 26 | View Replies]

To: Guenevere

I'm a glass-is-half-full kinda gal :)


29 posted on 10/18/2005 8:06:34 AM PDT by mewzilla (Property must be secured or liberty cannot exist. John Adams)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 28 | View Replies]

To: NautiNurse

bump


30 posted on 10/18/2005 8:06:51 AM PDT by tom paine 2
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Termite_Commander

That is a really dramatic right turn towards Florida.


31 posted on 10/18/2005 8:07:43 AM PDT by zeaal (SPREAD TRUTH!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 9 | View Replies]

To: NautiNurse
Damn, I hope the BAMD is wrong. It puts her right on top of Miami.

Good thing I left my shutters up after Rita. After Katrina caught me off-guard without shutters, I put them up for Rita and decided to leave them there for the rest of the season.

32 posted on 10/18/2005 8:09:03 AM PDT by laz (They can bus 'em to the polls, but they can't bus 'em out of the path of a Cat 5 hurricane.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: NautiNurse
Woohoo!


33 posted on 10/18/2005 8:10:49 AM PDT by Hatteras
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: zeaal
Yeah, it's supposed to get picked up by the westerlies and shoot across Florida.
34 posted on 10/18/2005 8:10:59 AM PDT by Termite_Commander (Warning: Cynical Right-winger Ahead)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 31 | View Replies]

To: Termite_Commander

Oh crud, right over my mom's house again! This time through the backyard!


35 posted on 10/18/2005 8:13:26 AM PDT by Ol' Sox
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 9 | View Replies]

To: mewzilla

LOL, same here....Gee, I think we've bonded :)


36 posted on 10/18/2005 8:13:46 AM PDT by Guenevere (God bless our military!...and God bless the President of the United States!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 29 | View Replies]

To: blam; laz
Looks like you should pull your shutters out of storage. Use those 'flowery' ones I like so much, lol.

Ah yes, the ones I painted to minimize the "crack house" appearance in 2004...


37 posted on 10/18/2005 8:14:14 AM PDT by NautiNurse
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 18 | View Replies]

To: Hatteras

There is that (though I don't know if you wanted to post the "Woohoo to NN; she's on the northern side of the cone of doom).


38 posted on 10/18/2005 8:14:51 AM PDT by steveegg (Tagline withheld until we know whether Miers will be a younger O'Connor or Roberts' soulmate)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 33 | View Replies]

To: NautiNurse
Looks like it may come in at the same area as Charley. Look out Fort Myers/Punta Gorda/Venice! Hopefully the wind currents will steer it fast out to the Atlantic. I'm getting weary.
39 posted on 10/18/2005 8:15:16 AM PDT by poobear (Imagine a world of liberal silence!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: NautiNurse

40 posted on 10/18/2005 8:16:00 AM PDT by SheLion (Trying to make a life in the BLUE state of Maine!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-4041-6061-80 ... 1,181-1,200 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson