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Hurricane Wilma Live Thread (As of 2:30 am EDT, Wilma is a Category 5 with 175-mph winds )
NHC - NOAA ^
| 18 October 2005
| NHC - NOAA
Posted on 10/18/2005 7:40:22 AM PDT by NautiNurse
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To: NautiNurse
This number should be used with caution.. Ahh, yes, the most conservative forecaster in the NHC. It just wouldn't be morning without the dispassionate and understated commentary.
If there is a weather hound that is asleep right now, I'd be shocked. Folks that I had no clue were weather hounds have called me this early in the morning to share the jaw dropping news.
Hopefully this storm will shred itself apart and aside from interesting surfing competitions in the tourist areas, that will be all that comes from this storm. I fear that isn't the case, though she should lose strength over the next 24 hours. Restrengthening would be unusual, but - we're dealing with a CAT5 'W' storm south of Cuba - I'm sorry, but any predictions are just educated guesses right now.
I will note that the GDFL ramp up that a lot of people discounted was actually conservative in its estimates - absolutely amazing.
Come on, Wilma, we heard you roar, please go put yourself to bed now. Everyone's had enough hurricanes for the year, and that bathtub of a gulf could use a break, not to mention Central American nations that are still recovering.
501
posted on
10/19/2005 2:40:45 AM PDT
by
kingu
(Draft Fmr Senator Fred Thompson for '08.)
To: NautiNurse
What a thing to wake up to! My sons (21 & 19) and their girlfriends, and an elderly uncle and aunt live in North Port. My mom and sister live in New Port Richy. This is going to be a very stressful weekend. Prayers for everyone in Wilma's path.
My boys just moved down to FL from PA in April, so they know nothing about surviving a hurricaine. I sure hope they're not going to be those idiots you see at the beach 6 hours before it hits, trying to catch some waves LOL.
502
posted on
10/19/2005 2:41:40 AM PDT
by
Siouxz
( Freepers are the best!!!)
To: kingu
This is very strange. Mid-October and looking at strong Cat 5. What's amazing is that I went to bed last night when it was still a Cat 2.
There is a scenario where this storm can "phase in" with an East Coast trough and cause a disaster in the New England/Mid-Atlantic area. Already rivers and creeks are up to their banks around here and even a moderate rainstorm in the next 5-7 days will exacerbate things greatly. A strong storm fueled with tropical moisture would be devastating.
But first, the focus needs to be on Florida.
503
posted on
10/19/2005 2:55:29 AM PDT
by
SamAdams76
(What Would Howard Roarke Do?)
To: NautiNurse
This is very difficult news to hear. Not blaming the messenger.
504
posted on
10/19/2005 2:57:39 AM PDT
by
Bahbah
(This is a no Miers zone)
To: NautiNurse
Can you even believe it! I went to bed, it was a Cat 1, I wake up, it's a Cat 5.
A quote from one of my favorite movies:
Inconceivable!
505
posted on
10/19/2005 2:59:33 AM PDT
by
dawn53
To: All
Hurricane Wilma Advisory Number 16 Statement as of 5:00 am EDT on October 19, 2005 Maximum sustained winds are near 175 mph...280 km/hr...with higher gusts. Wilma is a catastrophic category five hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson scale.
506
posted on
10/19/2005 2:59:43 AM PDT
by
backhoe
(-30-)
To: dawn53
Can you even believe it! I went to bed, it was a Cat 1, I wake up, it's a Cat 5.No, I haven't comprehended this yet. Haven't poured the first cup of coffee either. When I saw Cat 5, I thought it was a joke.
To: NautiNurse
I woke up (got my coffee first, LOL), then came to the computer. My husband was on his computer and hadn't really been following the storm too closely as to category, etc., so when he said, "It's a Cat 5," I couldn't believe it. He didn't know it had been a Cat 1 just last night.
508
posted on
10/19/2005 3:04:13 AM PDT
by
dawn53
To: NautiNurse
I've been up all night monitoring this thing, and it
still hasn't sunk in yet.
Did you know the eye got down to two miles wide at one point?
509
posted on
10/19/2005 3:05:14 AM PDT
by
laz
(They can bus 'em to the polls, but they can't bus 'em out of the path of a Cat 5 hurricane.)
To: NautiNurse
No coffee yet, but jaw has dropped! Cat 5!?!?!?! Prayers to all who might be in its path.
510
posted on
10/19/2005 3:08:48 AM PDT
by
mathluv
To: Siouxz
What a thing to wake up to! My sons (21 & 19) and their girlfriends, and an elderly uncle and aunt live in North Port. My mom and sister live in New Port Richy. This is going to be a very stressful weekend. Prayers for everyone in Wilma's path. My boys just moved down to FL from PA in April, so they know nothing about surviving a hurricaine. I sure hope they're not going to be those idiots you see at the beach 6 hours before it hits, trying to catch some waves LOL.My best wishes to you and your boys- you may find the information here useful:
Rita Up Close and Personal
511
posted on
10/19/2005 3:10:20 AM PDT
by
backhoe
(-30-)
To: dawn53; laz
WFLA predicts the storm will decrease to Cat 2-3 by landfall. We can only hope.
To: NautiNurse
Meanwhile, there's a wave along 55 west that could develop over the next few days. Alpha?
513
posted on
10/19/2005 3:12:51 AM PDT
by
laz
(They can bus 'em to the polls, but they can't bus 'em out of the path of a Cat 5 hurricane.)
To: laz
there's a wave along 55 west that could develop over the next few days. Alpha?Have my hands full with this storm. Can't think about another one right now.
To: NautiNurse
Unless she weakens, I'm afraid we're gonna have our arms full. But even a Cat 3 is gonna be bad. And add the forward speed to that, which might be as much as 20 mph.
515
posted on
10/19/2005 3:19:57 AM PDT
by
laz
(They can bus 'em to the polls, but they can't bus 'em out of the path of a Cat 5 hurricane.)
To: NautiNurse
Well, now I'm wondering whether we should go to Jacksonville after all.
516
posted on
10/19/2005 3:21:52 AM PDT
by
Peach
(The Clintons pardoned more terrorists than they captured or killed.)
To: Peach
There will be massive evacuations due to this storm. Not a good time to visit Florida for a vacation.
To: NautiNurse
884!? This is unbelievable. Simply unbelievable.
Hang tight - I'll pull the links here in a minute or two (rubbing sleep out of my eyes)...
518
posted on
10/19/2005 3:22:56 AM PDT
by
mhking
(The world needs a wake up call gentlemen...we're gonna phone it in.)
To: laz
Hey laz,
Where did you get the info as to forward speed. That would put it here a heck of a lot sooner, than the 8 mph they're reporting now?
My husband's has to be at our EOC during a storm, so we always have to plan our preparations (i.e. putting the boards up) well in advance if a storm is going to hit. I was just talking to him and said, looks like Sat/Sunday, so if it keeps heading our way, boards will go up Friday.
519
posted on
10/19/2005 3:24:12 AM PDT
by
dawn53
To: NautiNurse
We were going to a niece's birthday but I'll call my brother and sil this morning and we may re-evaluate.
520
posted on
10/19/2005 3:24:59 AM PDT
by
Peach
(The Clintons pardoned more terrorists than they captured or killed.)
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