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Huge asteroid threatening Earth
AFP ^ | March 03, 2006

Posted on 03/03/2006 10:28:08 AM PST by presidio9

AN asteroid capable of devastating an area the size of a sub-continent has about a one in 1000 risk of hitting Earth early next century, NASA said today.

The rock, 2004 VD17, is about 500m long and has a mass of nearly a billion tonnes.

If it hit Earth it would deliver 10,000 megatonnes of energy, equivalent to all the world's nuclear weapons. Spotted on November 27 2004, VD17 was identified as potentially crossing Earth's orbit, with a one in 3000 risk of collision on May 4, 2102.

Further observations and calculations have prompted the risk on that day to be upgraded to "a bit less than one in 1000", said NASA Near-Earth Object (NEO) expert David Morrison in an emailed circular.

"The risk of an impact within the next century (is) higher than that of any other known asteroid," he said, stressing however that the likelihood of a hit was small.

"Fortunately, it is nearly a century before the close pass from VD17. This should provide ample time to refine the orbit and, most probably, determine that the asteroid will miss the Earth." Collisions by large asteroids or comets are extraordinarily rare, but can be watershed events when they happen.

The reign of the dinosaurs is believed to have ended 65 million years ago by a rock that smashed into the Yucatan peninsula in Mexico.

The theory is that the impact kicked up vast clouds of dust that were borne around the globe on high-altitude winds and filtered out light and heat from the sun, inflicting climate change that changed Earth's biodiversity.


TOPICS: Extended News; Miscellaneous
KEYWORDS: asteroids; awgeeznotthisshit; doomed; theskyisfalling; wereallgonnadie
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1 posted on 03/03/2006 10:28:09 AM PST by presidio9
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To: presidio9

I hope it hits my neighbor's house. I hate that guy.


2 posted on 03/03/2006 10:29:40 AM PST by ClearCase_guy (E)
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To: presidio9

So I guess this makes global warming moot.


3 posted on 03/03/2006 10:29:48 AM PST by Brilliant
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To: presidio9
Will it breach the levees, or only top them?

-PJ

4 posted on 03/03/2006 10:30:20 AM PST by Political Junkie Too (It's still not safe to vote Democrat.)
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Comment #5 Removed by Moderator

To: Brilliant

Actually, NASA has the situation under control, as long as the flying saucer does not interfere.

6 posted on 03/03/2006 10:30:46 AM PST by presidio9 ("Bird Flu" is the new Y2K Virus -Only without the inconvenient deadline.)
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To: presidio9
The rock, 2004 VD17, is about 500m long

Crap. VD is going to do us all in. It's long, massive and bringing the pain.

7 posted on 03/03/2006 10:30:47 AM PST by Sax
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To: presidio9

Bush's fault



/sarc


8 posted on 03/03/2006 10:31:07 AM PST by HOTTIEBOY (The more people I meet, the more I like my dog.)
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To: presidio9

"Not Earth! That's where I keep all my stuff!" - The Tick


9 posted on 03/03/2006 10:31:10 AM PST by RabidBartender
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To: presidio9

Where's Bruce Willis when you need him?


10 posted on 03/03/2006 10:31:19 AM PST by theDentist (Qwerty ergo typo : I type, therefore I misspelll.)
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To: ClearCase_guy

I bet they will revise the odds to something more like 1 in 1,000,000,000.


11 posted on 03/03/2006 10:31:25 AM PST by cheme
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To: presidio9

I hope it's not too early to wet my pants.


12 posted on 03/03/2006 10:31:28 AM PST by freedomson (Tagline comment removed by moderator)
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To: presidio9

WE_ARE_ALL_GOING_TO_DIE!!!!!!!! AAAAAHHHHHHHHH!!!!!!


13 posted on 03/03/2006 10:31:42 AM PST by kerryusama04 (The Bill of Rights is not occupation specific.)
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To: presidio9

Like we don't already have enough problems!


14 posted on 03/03/2006 10:31:43 AM PST by mlc9852
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To: presidio9
Actually, NASA has the situation under control, as long as the flying saucer does not interfere.

I don't care who you are, that's funny.

15 posted on 03/03/2006 10:31:47 AM PST by RabidBartender
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To: presidio9

Women and minorities will be hardest hit.


16 posted on 03/03/2006 10:31:51 AM PST by FormerACLUmember (No program, no ideas, no clue: The democrats!)
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To: freedomson

Guess Visa isn't going to get that monthly payment afterall.


17 posted on 03/03/2006 10:32:36 AM PST by EQAndyBuzz (To Serve Man......It's a cookbook!)
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To: presidio9

Paging Bruce Willis!


18 posted on 03/03/2006 10:32:40 AM PST by Rummyfan
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To: ClearCase_guy
I hope it hits my neighbor's house. I hate that guy.

I know funny and brother, that is funny.

19 posted on 03/03/2006 10:32:55 AM PST by GreenAccord (I move for a bad trial thingy!)
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To: presidio9
a one in 3000 risk of collision on May 4, 2102.

One in 3000 is "threatening?" Yeah, and I'm "threatening" to win the lotto.

20 posted on 03/03/2006 10:32:55 AM PST by Mr. Mojo
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