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Hizballah Brings out Iranian Silkworm to Hit Israel Navy Corvette
DEBKA file ^ | July 15, 2006, 1:37 PM (GMT+02:00) | DEBKAfile Exclusive Military Analysis

Posted on 07/15/2006 4:21:36 AM PDT by Oeconomicus

Hizballah Brings out Iranian Silkworm to Hit Israel Navy Corvette

DEBKAfile Exclusive Military Analysis

July 15, 2006, 1:37 PM (GMT+02:00)

The disaster that overtook one of the Israeli Navy’s state of the art warships, Ahi-Hanit, was thoroughly planned in advance by an enemy which managed to take Israel’s military commanders by surprise. It has shocked Israel’s military to a degree comparable to the profound effect on US forces of al Qaeda’s 2000 attack on the USS Cole in Aden. The Saar-5 class corvette, with a crew of 61 seamen and a 10-man helicopter crew, was hit Friday, July 17 at 20:15 hours, while shelling Beirut international airport. Four crewmen were reported missing. One was found dead Saturday aboard the crippled ship. Three are still sought by rescue teams.

DEBKAfile’s military sources reveal that the warship was struck from Beirut by an Iran-made C-802 shore-to-sea missile of the Silkworm family. Weighing 715 kilos, with a range of 120km, the missile is armed with a strong anti-jamming capability, which lends it a 98% success rate in escaping interception.

The Israeli ship is armed with an advanced Barak anti-missile system, which may have missed the incoming missile. Israeli military planners must now look at the vulnerability of the navy following the appearance of the first Iranian C-802 missiles The Israeli chief of staff, Lt.Gen. Dan Halutz, started his news conference Friday night just 15 minutes earlier at 20:00. The campaign was then 60 hours old from the moment Hizballah raiders captured two Israel soldiers in an ambush inside Israel. He was poised, assured and clear, until a reporter asked if the military goals of the Lebanese offensive matched the objectives set out in government decisions. His answer was: “Don’t start looking for cracks.”

But Hizballah found the cracks 15 minutes later. Its secretary general Hassan Nasrallah put in a telephone appearance on Al Manar TV straight after General Halutz to inform his listeners across the Middle East that one of Israel’s warships was ablaze at that very moment. He said the ship had been crippled while it was bombing Beirut and was sinking. Hizballah, he added, had prepared a number of surprises for Israel and its armed forces Despite several Israeli air raids, the station is still broadcasting.

In Israel, the Hizballah chief’s words were taken at first as an implausible threat for the future – until the order of events began to unfold. DEBKAfile’s military sources reveal:

Shortly before 20:00 hours Friday, Hizballah launched a pair of land-to-sea C-802 missiles against the Israeli ship from the coast of Beirut. The trajectory of the first was adjusted to a landing amidships from above. It missed and exploded in the water. The second was rigged to skim the water like a cruise missile. It achieved a direct hit of the Ahi Hanit’s helicopter deck, starting a fire. The ship began to sink, as Nasrallah said, and would have been lost were it not for the speed and bravery of crewmen who jumped into the flames and doused them before the ship exploded and sank.

It is not known whether the men dead and missing paid with their lives for saving the ship.

This was the second time in 48 hours that the Israeli high command was taken by unawares.

July 12, the day that Hizballah kidnapped two Israeli soldiers, was also the deadline for Iran to deliver its answer to the six-power package of incentives for giving up its nuclear enrichment program. Tehran let the day go by without an answer. Someone should have kept an eye on Iran’s Lebanese surrogate and made the connection with a fresh virulent threat against Israel from Iran’s president Mahmoud Ahmadinejad. However, the high alert declared earlier this month for Israeli units on the Lebanese border was not restored.

The Hizballah guerrillas took advantage of this lack of vigilance to infiltrate Israel near Zarit, penetrate to a distance of 200 meters, fire RPGs and roadside bombs at two Israeli Hammer jeeps on patrol, and make off with Ehud Goldwasser and Eldad Regev. Eight Israeli soldiers lost their lives as a result of this attack.

The IDF ground pursuit for the two men was cut short when an Israeli tank was blown up by a massive 300-kilo bomb in south Lebanon, killing the four-man crew and a fifth soldier who tried to rescue his comrades. The attack on the Ahi-Hanit was the third surprise.

When General Halutz was asked if Israel does not fear Syrian and Iranian intervention in the hostilities, he replied firmly in the negative. But Iran has been involved from the very first moment.

This localized perception of the Just Reward campaign in Lebanon is hampering its effectiveness. The war embarked on Wednesday night, July 12, is no local conflict. It is therefore not enough to limit the operation to a duel with Nasrallah, when his strings are pulled by Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and Ahmadinejad from Tehran and the Syrian president Bashar Assad, who opened up Damascus military airport for the delivery of Iranian missiles to his militia.

Saturday morning, Hizballah TV broadcast a videotape showed a blurred object looking like a small unmanned aircraft purportedly packed with explosives exploding in the water. This was an attempt to muddy the trail leading to Tehran and present the fatal attack as an extraordinary feat of arms by Hizballah. It was also another move in and intense psychological war to undermine Israeli morale. The inference they are trying to get across is that if the Shiite terrorists have a weapon that can hit a moving target at sea, the will not find it hard to reach any part of Israel including Tel Aviv.


TOPICS: Foreign Affairs; Israel; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: 2006israelwar; c802; debka; iran; israel; israelinavy; missile; shoretosea; silkworm
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To: Jim Noble

What terrible beauty.


61 posted on 07/15/2006 5:09:11 AM PDT by mother22wife21 ( http://www.avianflutalk.com/default.asp-knowledge is power-get prepping!)
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To: FreedomPoster

You can find most of the 2006 Israeli War threads compiled on keyword 2006israelwar. There are a couple threads there about the leaflets.


62 posted on 07/15/2006 5:09:16 AM PDT by ASA Vet (3.03)
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To: happinesswithoutpeace
"Reports of Pikud Tzafon being hit.

With ground to ground rockets.
"

Hmmm. That's Northern Command. Hezbollah's really asking for it.
63 posted on 07/15/2006 5:11:08 AM PDT by familyop ("Either you're with us, or you're with the terrorists." --President Bush)
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To: Oeconomicus; All

http://projects.washingtonpost.com/congress/105/house/1/votes/592/

The link above, is from the WP database with all the votes from almost every Congresss, showing what the Bill was, what Congress, how the votes went, the yeas and nays, and how each Congresscritter voted.

The above link was from the 105th Congress, 1st session,(11/06/97). The Bill was H RES 188. It concerned: Acquisition by Iran of C-802 Cruise Missiles, with the title: Urging the executive branch to take action regarding the acquisition by Iran of C-802 cruise missiles.

The votes were 414 yea, 8 nay, 11 not voting. You can click on anything "blue", and it will show you a more in depth description, ( IMHO a GOOD BOOKMARK OVERALL).

Check out who one of the 7 Dems were, that voted NAY to have the Clinton Administration take action against Iran having these C-802 missiles (bought from China)......

....ole Mr.Redeploy himself !! (...maybe that's why he wants our troops in Okinawa, so those C-802's he thinks were OK for Iran to have don't hit ONE OF OUR SHIPS or TROOPS !!)

OBTW, What DID the Crinton Administration do about this 414 to 8 vote concernong these C-802's that Iran purchased ??....

They sent a letter through a third party to give to the Iranians to "have some talks sometime".....

...in other words, NOTHING, like the rest of Crintons GREAT foreign policy decisions....


64 posted on 07/15/2006 5:11:27 AM PDT by musicman
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To: FreedomPoster

Here's another one.

Israel drops leaflets over Beirut denouncing Hezbollah
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1527336/posts


65 posted on 07/15/2006 5:15:13 AM PDT by familyop ("Either you're with us, or you're with the terrorists." --President Bush)
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To: FreedomPoster
Wouldn't you think that Israel would have the entire U.S. Atlantic fleet at their disposal?
66 posted on 07/15/2006 5:15:57 AM PDT by Coldwater Creek ("Over there, over there, We won't be back 'til it's over Over there.")
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To: RouxStir
This means that Iran has been planning this scenario to egg Israel into this fight. Before this is over, Israel will have to attack Iran directly using nukes

I will agree that the Iranians are goading Israel, taunting Israel, drawing Israel into a trap. Whether the trap works or not is another thing. Muslim mentality as far as chess playing, perceiving weakness and making war is good. But how good is the implementation?

67 posted on 07/15/2006 5:19:42 AM PDT by dennisw (Confucius say man who go through turnstile sideways going to Bangkok)
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To: FreedomPoster

Eilat class corvette(No Phalanx CIWS visible, may not have been installed as per your description)

heavily-armed Saar-4.5 Hetz/ Nirit Class missile boat (Phalanx CIWS Very visible At the bow)

68 posted on 07/15/2006 5:19:48 AM PDT by usmcobra (How many ICBM tests does it take before Kim Jung Il is consider a threat? let's find out 1,2,3...)
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To: Victor

Sea-skimming cruise missile, an Exocet on steroids. Non-nuclear, at least in the U.S. inventory.


69 posted on 07/15/2006 5:20:01 AM PDT by FreedomPoster (Guns themselves are fairly robust; their chief enemies are rust and politicians) (NRA)
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To: Constantine XI Palaeologus
Also, the Saar-5 is equipped with sophisticated detection radar and countermeasures that may have created a semi-effective diversion for the silkworm.

I would imagine a big part of the shock of the Israeli Navy is that the Saar-5 systems didn't completely detect and deflect an incoming missile. Additionally, the Saar-5 has a stealthy radar signature that was obviously not stealthy enough.

70 posted on 07/15/2006 5:20:24 AM PDT by Dark Skies
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To: ASA Vet

Thanks, and thanks for the keyword heads-up. Always nice to know which one is the good'n.


71 posted on 07/15/2006 5:21:18 AM PDT by FreedomPoster (Guns themselves are fairly robust; their chief enemies are rust and politicians) (NRA)
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To: usmcobra

That data was from Andrew Toppan's site. He's generally pretty good. He's been around for a long time, I remember reading his data on newsgroups, long before he had a web site.

FWIW

http://www.hazegray.org/


72 posted on 07/15/2006 5:23:25 AM PDT by FreedomPoster (Guns themselves are fairly robust; their chief enemies are rust and politicians) (NRA)
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To: Jim Noble
I think China would have her people eat grass for a hundred years if it meant the end of American power.

More precisely, the inner core of the Chinese Communist Party would not mind having the Chinese people live in a state of peasantry forever if the Chinese rulers thereby achieved world power

The emerging Chinese middle class is a bigger threat to the power of the rulers than America is. They're just needed for the moment in order to produce an economy that can challenge the US.

Ruling classes everywhere prefer a poverty-stricken, uneducated populace -- it means they have no challengers, and provides a ready supply of servants and concubines

73 posted on 07/15/2006 5:25:08 AM PDT by SauronOfMordor (A planned society is most appealing to those with the arrogance to think they will be the planners)
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To: capitalist229
Western credibility is shattered when we claim that state sponsors of terrorism will be held responsible, then we run away from confrontations with Iran and Syria....

yup; but this is an old reality-jus blusterin by the Pres..

74 posted on 07/15/2006 5:27:43 AM PDT by 1234 (WHO is Responsible for ENFORCING IMMIGRATION LAWS?)
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To: Jim Noble

I get all misty eyed seeing the "Jersy. I spent some time on the Iowa. Apparently Lebanon suffers from some short term memory loss about those days. Nothing like making swimming pools on shore from 25 miles out.


75 posted on 07/15/2006 5:28:15 AM PDT by strange1 ("Show the enemy harm so he shall not advance" Sun Tzu The Art of War)
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To: FreedomPoster
If this was a Silkworm strike, I've got to think the CIWS wasn't activated, and that the Israelis didn't foresee this threat

Or the CIWS failed to hit it until it was just a few yards out.

76 posted on 07/15/2006 5:28:21 AM PDT by SauronOfMordor (A planned society is most appealing to those with the arrogance to think they will be the planners)
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To: FreedomPoster

I know I went to his site first. According to his data the Israelis may have left off some weapons systems because of concerns over being top heavy.

Those concerns are noted in the description you posted.


77 posted on 07/15/2006 5:34:44 AM PDT by usmcobra (How many ICBM tests does it take before Kim Jung Il is consider a threat? let's find out 1,2,3...)
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To: JoeDetweiler

"It would be a shame if one of those Hizballah missiles went astray and took out the Al-Aqsa Mosque in Jerusalem."

Not to mention highly implausible if not unfeasible given the Silkworm is an anti-ship missile.


78 posted on 07/15/2006 5:34:51 AM PDT by Dave Elias
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To: ken5050
The USS Stark was hit by two Exocets in 1987. The Exocets each carried a 352 lb. warhead. 37 sailors were killed. The crew fought the fires all night and they received assistance from other U.S. Navy ships in the area. They saved the ship.

The USS Stark was a Perry Class Frigate (445ft, 3638 tons)
Decommissioned: 1999, Scrapped: 2005

79 posted on 07/15/2006 5:36:02 AM PDT by SC Swamp Fox (Join our Folding@Home team (Team# 36120) keyword: folding)
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To: goldstategop

"This is an opponent that deserves a measure of grudging respect. We haven't see Arabs this skillful in any of their past wars with Israel."

Au contrare, Hezbollah have a long track record of success againt the IDF during the war in Lebanon. Probably the major reason there are no Israeli boots on the ground in this stauch. Israel's VC if you will.


80 posted on 07/15/2006 5:39:22 AM PDT by Dave Elias
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