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To: drellberg
There are 12 months in a year and 7 contintents. The chances are basically one in three that during one month this year a 300-year old record will be broken somewhere in the world -- even if the weather is entirely random

this logic is lost on me...and i typically ace logic tests.

4 posted on 07/25/2006 8:40:11 AM PDT by dennis1x
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To: dennis1x

12 months * 7 continents = 84 observations.

84 divided by 300 is approximately 1/3. (OK, a bit less.)

And this is very crude probability, I know.

My point is only that somewhere in the world at some point during the year it's likely be hot, hot, hot. This headline, 'hottest in 300 years,' is not at all as impressive as it seems at first. I'd wager that if you add Hawaii and a few other places to the mix, you'd find at least one spot in the world most every year that breaks a 300-year old record.


13 posted on 07/25/2006 8:48:13 AM PDT by drellberg
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To: dennis1x
this logic is lost on me...and i typically ace logic tests.

That's because it's math based, and when it comes to math there are 3 types of people:
Thaose who can and those who can't do math... ;)

29 posted on 07/25/2006 8:57:57 AM PDT by CaptainCanada (Citizenship which costs nothing is worth nothing..........................................)
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