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To: staytrue

What's the "logic"?


5 posted on 09/11/2006 9:19:24 AM PDT by sarasota
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To: sarasota

My guess is the inflation bugaboo is overrated as evidenced by oil prices dropping. Further, currency exchange rates may have influence on gold/silver beyond inflation. Dropping commodity prices may indicate that we are not in the final throws of cyclical down market but may be in for continued sustainable growth. All those players who sold cyclicals may just have to buy them back. Sweet.


22 posted on 09/11/2006 9:24:40 AM PDT by tigtog
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To: sarasota

You want logic in the markets? Why start now.


106 posted on 09/11/2006 12:01:10 PM PDT by mad_as_he$$ (Never corner anything meaner than you. NSDQ)
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To: sarasota
Oil peaked in July. It is down 15%. Silver has dropped 16% in the last 3 trading days alone. There was a huge security premium in commodities prices on war fears over Iran. Those are fizzling, and the doomster longs are capitulating. Oil could drop to $40 very quickly on fundamentals - it never needed to be this high to balance supply and demand, and stocks have built continually at the recent high prices.

Easy money out of Japan especially, and low interest rates world wide, have spawned bubble after bubble in speculative assets. Stocks cratered 5 years ago and have been sane for the last 3, as earnings have risen to justify recovered prices. Houses were next but have topped. Commodities went parabolic a little less than a year ago and are now crashing. Commercial real estate is still going for the moment, and government bonds remain the most overpriced stuff on the planet.

There has also been massive politically motivate doom mongering out there, with people trading a fine economy like it is the end of the world. It isn't, and markets will adjust and take their money.

135 posted on 09/11/2006 7:23:19 PM PDT by JasonC
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