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Why Some Top Republicans Think They May Still Have the Last Laugh
Time ^ | 10/31/06 | Mike Allen

Posted on 10/31/2006 8:09:22 AM PST by LS

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To: gridlock
Amen, Gridlock. Thanks for your observations.

I can gurantee that this letter writing friend is going to be on the losing side of this. You simply don't win elections by Bush bashing.

Bush is a far more popular president the than what the polls show and I have full confidence that he has the support of the vast majority of Americans.

BTTT!!!!!!!!

101 posted on 10/31/2006 10:42:52 AM PST by E.G.C.
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To: LS
Dear Mr. Rove,

I have only sporadically seen you prognisticate over the past 5-6 weeks. I have been barraged by MSNBC, ABC,NBC, CBs, and NBC saying that there is no way the republicans can win or even hold majority in the house and probably the senate. They have repeated this mantra ad-nauseum. It has had a mild effect on my enthusiam for Nov. 2. But it has made me very angry. These pricks are telling me the future in order to take the starch out of my pecker. Now, I am pissed. They cannot know the future, especially the motivation of those not carefully following these races. Yet they, like Goebells, keeps repeating what is unknowable. It is clear this orchestrated brain-washing is designed for one final result,....to demoralize republicans and put dems into power.

Well, here is my response. I have conscripted voters for the GOP. I am calling to remind them to vote, and vote early. So far, I have conscripted 2 immediate family members, to the point of making sure they got early registration forms. Then my brother, his wife, his 2 kids, their spouses, my sister and her husband, her two kids and one of their spouses. All will be voting Republican, across the block. I have only begun to fight these bastards in the MSM and the G*****n democrat antiGod, proabortion, proeuthenasia, antimilitary, protaxcuts,etc, etc.

It makes me mad as hell when the MSM tells me what I think. Why would they do that? Because they want me to think that way. So MSM, dems, kiss my rosey, red, bung. I am not going to let you win. Never again. I would like the dems and MSM know they could not turn me, but they encouraged me to conscript at least 11 other people to vote Republican. I have never done that before. I voted, but I did not go out to turn voters. Thanks to the MSM and dems, I have done so. It has been fun. And I am not through. I have 7 more days to do more. By the way, the breakout in the people I mentioned have, in the past, was about 5 republicans and 6 democrat voters. I took the 6 to the republican side, so if my math is correct, the dems go down 12 and the republicans up go to 17. I like that math.

102 posted on 10/31/2006 10:43:54 AM PST by Texas Songwriter
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To: LS

Well the lying conniving demagogy democrats have got me SOOOOO pist off I'd crall over broken glass in a pit of salt to get one extra vote to beat the bastards... I've sent in my vote today


103 posted on 10/31/2006 10:48:00 AM PST by tophat9000 (FYI To the Left: The Klu Klux Klan also started as a "terrorist insurgency" group)
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To: ken5050

The Mich economy is a mess. Perhaps even Dem union members will be honest enough to want a real change. Mich. is such a tough state to call. One poster asked that the RNC put up better candidates in many battleground states. He is right. Mich has Bouchard and he is a good one. DeVos did not come across well on CSPAN. In other states, it will be ashame to see such a good candidate like Gavrick lose to Cantwell because she is a good looking Dem!!


104 posted on 10/31/2006 10:48:05 AM PST by phillyfanatic
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To: Welike ike
"Tradesports ... is based on emotion, not facts like Wall Street."

LOL! And what "facts" did Wall Street use to value the dot.com sector in the late 1990's? Markets reflect participants' expectations of the future, which are formed both by facts and emotions.

The relevant question about tradesports.com is not whether it is a perfect predictor of electoral outcomes but whether it is better or worse than more traditional polling methods. Like untenured, I haven't seen a systematic study of the evidence - only anecdotal evidence where pro- and anti-tradesports people (including myself) have cherry-picked examples to support their argument.
105 posted on 10/31/2006 10:49:04 AM PST by riverdawg
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To: LS

Dewine could help his situation out a lot more if he would get in front of every camera he can find yelling angry condemnations of John Kerry. Should help a lot with the base...


106 posted on 10/31/2006 10:49:07 AM PST by perfect_rovian_storm (Good...Bad...I'm the guy with the gun.)
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To: Jim Verdolini

"I believe the big news of this election will not be a change in congress, though it is possible, but a really unexpectedly low turnout. We had 77 million of so in 2002. I doubt we see 70 million this time, about half the 2004 numbers. In such a world, the most organized operation wins."

Good observation.... I was hearing of low turnout in our local area in early voting. OTOH, I want *high* turnout in our areas, and *low* turnout in the Dem ones.


107 posted on 10/31/2006 10:51:49 AM PST by WOSG (Broken-glass time, Republicans! Save the Congress!)
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To: LS

"I know people who HATED DeWine, and if they'd just shut up, those people wouldn't be voting. Now they are, and they'll vote Blackwell, too."

I hope you know 100,000 likeminded folks.

I wish I could sare your optimism.


108 posted on 10/31/2006 10:53:34 AM PST by WOSG (Broken-glass time, Republicans! Save the Congress!)
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To: LS

I voted all Republican this morning in Cobb County, GA


109 posted on 10/31/2006 10:53:41 AM PST by Crawdad (Current polling methods will be considered obsolete on November 8, 2006.)
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To: LS

See, Diana Irey's got the right idea!

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1729293/posts


110 posted on 10/31/2006 10:56:44 AM PST by perfect_rovian_storm (Good...Bad...I'm the guy with the gun.)
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To: LS

"Republican officials say the other reasons they're optimistic are:"

6) Kerry is a MORON


111 posted on 10/31/2006 10:57:24 AM PST by ryan71 (You can hear it on the coconut telegraph...)
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To: kevinm13

"From your lips to God's ears. I will be working in NJ to get the vote out for Kean who is really a Dem but will vote for President Bush's judges. Besides Menendez is probably in bed with the rest of the corruption crowd on the left in NJ."

The choice is between a liberal Democrat crooked pol and an honest RINO who will support the right kind of judges and support a decent foreign policy. Seems an easy choice, even for conservatives.

Go KEAN!!!


112 posted on 10/31/2006 10:59:26 AM PST by WOSG (Broken-glass time, Republicans! Save the Congress!)
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To: kevkrom

"This notion that elections are stolen and that elections are rigged is so common in the public sphere that we're having to go out of our way to counter them this year," said Donna Brazile, a Democratic strategist. .

----

That's total BS, but think about it - by publicizing it, they are trying to motivate their base. Sure, if *you* were reminded of attempts to deny *your* right to vote you'd think "I'll show them! I'm going out to vote!"

So it makes sense that liberal NPR this morning had a news segment about liberal poll watchers trying to 'protect' voters from 'voter intimidation' (ie daring to make them show proof).

The MSM noise machine is trying to 'scare up' some voters, literally!


113 posted on 10/31/2006 11:02:16 AM PST by WOSG (Broken-glass time, Republicans! Save the Congress!)
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To: Jim Verdolini
I believe the big news of this election will not be a change in congress, though it is possible, but a really unexpectedly low turnout. We had 77 million of so in 2002. I doubt we see 70 million this time, about half the 2004 numbers. In such a world, the most organized operation wins. That is generally republican.

I agree with you. The Dem primary participation has also been way down. In Virginia, about 150,000 showed up statewide for what was a fairly competitive primary between Webb and Harris Miller. Webb won 53 to 47 percent.

114 posted on 10/31/2006 11:09:17 AM PST by kabar
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To: Texas Songwriter

I added my son and brother-in-law to those who will vote Republican for the first time by registering them.


115 posted on 10/31/2006 11:12:25 AM PST by LS (CNN is the Amtrak of News)
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To: mwl1

Good for your son. My college freshman son did the same last week. Straight R.


116 posted on 10/31/2006 11:14:29 AM PST by bamabaseballmom
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To: perfect_rovian_storm
Agree, but his new ads with the people who have sons in Iraq are very good. "Sherrod Brown," says this little old lady, "I just can't trust you."

Wait, I thought Iraq was a "loser" for GOP candidates?

117 posted on 10/31/2006 11:30:25 AM PST by LS (CNN is the Amtrak of News)
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To: LS

Right, LS. I am using exit poll data fromm CNN over time, assuming that Reps and Dems are equally motivated-- benefits Dems-- but allowing for the median historical decrease in midterm turnout in Ohio (~15), then defining likely voters as those that consider the economy as "very important" since that most correlates with actual voters across parties in gubernatorial elections. The 20% that said that the economy wasn't important had unusually high undecideds and young, which are the least likely to vote in a midterm. As I said, the -6.2% is only "backback of the envelope", but it has followed Zogby closely and trended with Rassmussen. So take it for what it's worth.


118 posted on 10/31/2006 11:46:16 AM PST by Dr. Free Market (Do the right thing, and let the chips fall where they may.)
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To: Dr. Free Market
So what's your bottom line aggregate for Dems undervoting and GOP turnout advantage? 5% off the polls? 7%?

If you go through the House lists, it's hard to see how the Dems can win 10, and with the right shifts in the last week, it's easy to see how we could not lose a single NET seat.

119 posted on 10/31/2006 11:48:52 AM PST by LS (CNN is the Amtrak of News)
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To: riverdawg
Riverdawg, the 2004 Presidential Election is cherry picked?? It was the most focal election possibly in World history and Tradesports completely screwed it up. Dawg, that was not an obscure House or Senate race. Tradesports had the winner, Bush, at 48% on Election morning and 20% by 4pm.

Please do your homework Riverdawg
120 posted on 10/31/2006 11:52:30 AM PST by Welike ike
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