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Warning: What to Expect
Self | 11/7/06 | LS

Posted on 11/07/2006 4:29:51 PM PST by LS

All right, folks. Guess I have to do it again around here and hand out the chill pills.

1) It is absolutely clear to me that we have won this. We will keep the Senate, and I'm 90% sure we keep the House. We'll probably gain a seat, maybe two in the Senate.

2) I know this from the turnout numbers, just as I did in 2004. The fact is, forget Indies. They don't vote in high numbers. It's all about the two parties, and who gets out their base.

We have done that today beyond my wildest expectations. The info we have from the Hotline on turnout is overwhelming, and in virtually every key state, we have exceeded Dem turnout by 2, 3, 4, or 6%.

As I predicted, we are seeing a Dem UNDERVOTE. They are underperforming, esp. in key states such as OH. However, they are underperforming far worse than even I dreamed. We are looking at 20% in Cuyahoga County! Brown and Strickland couldn't get elected dog catcher with that level of support.

SO HERE IS WHAT TO EXPECT: THE MEDIA IDIOTS HAVE THEIR TEMPLATES. THEY WILL BE VERY SLOW TO COME AROUND. IT WILL BE A LONG NIGHT, BECAUSE THEY WON'T BELIEVE THEIR EYES.

They may even "call" a few House races, maybe a Senate race, based on some ridiculously low "exit poll" and have to recant later. Be patient. The turnout numbers suggest we absolutely cannot lose.


TOPICS: Editorial; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: democrats; election; imdrunk; realclearamateur; republicans; returns; roveyoudumbass; thisguyhasnoclue; toast; wasteofbandwidth; whothhellisthisguy
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To: woofie
Watch FNC and your wish will be granted.

I have been optimistic, but they are getting to me.

201 posted on 11/07/2006 5:07:37 PM PST by nopardons
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To: LS

LS..You may be right. Fingers crossed.


202 posted on 11/07/2006 5:07:59 PM PST by maineman
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To: ruschpa
I'm thinking LS better get his facts straight before making predictions. Not a single good word yet from the results coming in.

He is stone wrong .......... unfortunately!

203 posted on 11/07/2006 5:08:52 PM PST by beyond the sea ( Either hold your nose a little on Election Day ......... or grab your ankles for the next years)
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To: LS

This is good news!
People are getting out and voting.


204 posted on 11/07/2006 5:09:21 PM PST by greccogirl
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To: LS

A PREVIOUS POST:
Posted by The Spirit Of Allegiance to FairOpinion; eeevil conservative; Dane; EternalVigilance; NormsRevenge; onyx; Howlin; IPWGOP; ...
On News/Activism 11/04/2006 8:39:40 PM PST · 11 of 73
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1732515/posts?page=11#11
I'm quite active in GOTV efforts and let me tell you, TONS of (R) people are voting. Nobody's buying the mind-control stuff, I guess our intolerant tinfoil is on too tight LOL.

From the unscientific sampling of what I see and hear, the GOP turnout may well exceed the normal mid-Presidential-term election!

Especially now that Jean Cherie has lit our fire!

Prayers UP.





Joplin, MO - Republican Stronghold Runs out of Ballots: Some voters to use photocopied ballots
Joplin Globe (Missouri) ^ | 11.07.2006 | staff
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1734360/posts

voters will be able to use the copied ballots, but they will have to be hand-counted.

Mosbaugh said he underestimated voter turnout in ordering supplies.

“Normally, we throw away as many ballots as are voted after every election. But the turnout this year is a lot higher, closer to turnouts for presidential election years.”






WOOOOOOOHOOOOOOOOO and prayers CONTINUE for our Nation!


205 posted on 11/07/2006 5:09:36 PM PST by The Spirit Of Allegiance (Public Employees: Honor Your Oaths! Defend the Constitution from Enemies--Foreign and Domestic!)
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To: LS

I'm with ya, LS. Yer right on the money.



Alex, I'll take: "How many people get all of their news and information from the blogosphere?"


206 posted on 11/07/2006 5:09:45 PM PST by rwsteel (One man can change the world. Wanna see how? Here! Hold muh beer and watch this...)
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To: LS

You never have because you have little to say.


207 posted on 11/07/2006 5:10:04 PM PST by beyond the sea ( Either hold your nose a little on Election Day ......... or grab your ankles for the next years)
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To: beyond the sea

Which of those turnout numbers that I posted is wrong? ("Unfortunately?") None of them.


208 posted on 11/07/2006 5:10:40 PM PST by LS
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To: Frank Sheed

?


209 posted on 11/07/2006 5:11:01 PM PST by beyond the sea ( Either hold your nose a little on Election Day ......... or grab your ankles for the next years)
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To: beyond the sea

Please go to another thread, we are hopeful on this one.


210 posted on 11/07/2006 5:11:33 PM PST by trustandobey
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To: LS

Nice wishful thinking but we lose the House and barely hold the Senate (maybe).


211 posted on 11/07/2006 5:11:39 PM PST by lawdude (The dems see Wal-Mart as a bigger threat to the US than muslim terrorists)
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To: marblehead17

ping


212 posted on 11/07/2006 5:11:43 PM PST by marblehead17 (I love it when a plan comes together.)
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To: lawdude

Which is darn good in a 6th year election.


213 posted on 11/07/2006 5:12:52 PM PST by bnelson44 (Proud parent of a tanker! (Charlie Mike, son))
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To: trustandobey

Be hopeful.........if it feels good.


214 posted on 11/07/2006 5:13:22 PM PST by beyond the sea ( Either hold your nose a little on Election Day ......... or grab your ankles for the next years)
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http://www.electionprojection.com/senatecard.html


http://www.electionprojection.com/housecard.html


215 posted on 11/07/2006 5:13:50 PM PST by No Blue States
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To: LS

What is your source of data?


216 posted on 11/07/2006 5:14:21 PM PST by Air Force Brat
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To: nopardons

Turn Fox off. I'm serious. I haven't watched Fox all day.


217 posted on 11/07/2006 5:14:25 PM PST by A Citizen Reporter (Sign at World Series in St. Louis, October 27, 2006 "The Experts are Idiots")
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To: nopardons
They aren't getting to me! I shut Fox off yesterday afternoon and went to the Food Network! Right now Emeril is making oxtail suce for pasta.

Not that I will ever make such a dish, but it is better than listening to Bill Kristol! LOL!

Hang in there. I think the REAL results won't be known till early morning, and I will be in bed by then.

218 posted on 11/07/2006 5:14:43 PM PST by Miss Marple (Lord, please look over Mozart Lover's and Jemian's sons and keep them strong.```````````````````````)
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To: No Blue States

those sites appear to be slow and behind


219 posted on 11/07/2006 5:15:18 PM PST by JWinNC (www.anailinhisplace.net)
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To: beyond the sea

I think its better to be realistic than hopeful...


220 posted on 11/07/2006 5:15:19 PM PST by ruschpa
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