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Warning: What to Expect
Self | 11/7/06 | LS

Posted on 11/07/2006 4:29:51 PM PST by LS

All right, folks. Guess I have to do it again around here and hand out the chill pills.

1) It is absolutely clear to me that we have won this. We will keep the Senate, and I'm 90% sure we keep the House. We'll probably gain a seat, maybe two in the Senate.

2) I know this from the turnout numbers, just as I did in 2004. The fact is, forget Indies. They don't vote in high numbers. It's all about the two parties, and who gets out their base.

We have done that today beyond my wildest expectations. The info we have from the Hotline on turnout is overwhelming, and in virtually every key state, we have exceeded Dem turnout by 2, 3, 4, or 6%.

As I predicted, we are seeing a Dem UNDERVOTE. They are underperforming, esp. in key states such as OH. However, they are underperforming far worse than even I dreamed. We are looking at 20% in Cuyahoga County! Brown and Strickland couldn't get elected dog catcher with that level of support.

SO HERE IS WHAT TO EXPECT: THE MEDIA IDIOTS HAVE THEIR TEMPLATES. THEY WILL BE VERY SLOW TO COME AROUND. IT WILL BE A LONG NIGHT, BECAUSE THEY WON'T BELIEVE THEIR EYES.

They may even "call" a few House races, maybe a Senate race, based on some ridiculously low "exit poll" and have to recant later. Be patient. The turnout numbers suggest we absolutely cannot lose.


TOPICS: Editorial; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: democrats; election; imdrunk; realclearamateur; republicans; returns; roveyoudumbass; thisguyhasnoclue; toast; wasteofbandwidth; whothhellisthisguy
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To: TexasGreg

There'll be snowcone stands in Hell before GW will pull out of Iraq.

And if the Dims cut off funding their stint in the majority will be exactly two years!


561 posted on 11/07/2006 7:48:29 PM PST by Cedric
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To: FreedomPoster

Correct. I lay this entirely at the feet of the Republicans for not clearly explaining what they're doing, but mostly at the Democrats for taking disgraceful political opportunism, and the MSM for becoming cheerleaders and gleefully abandoning any pretense at objectivity.


562 posted on 11/07/2006 7:48:29 PM PST by Darkwolf377 (Republican, atheist, pro-lifer, stranded in Blue Boston)
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To: sibb1213

MY "weight of the world?" LOL. That seems like a lifetime ago. We aren't that country now. We are becoming France.


563 posted on 11/07/2006 7:49:21 PM PST by LS
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To: TexasGreg

..that's Who I was talking about--in the end it will be ok...


564 posted on 11/07/2006 7:49:41 PM PST by WalterSkinner ( ..when there is any conflict between God and Caesar -- guess who loses?)
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To: beyond the sea

Hey, could you shut the heck up? You made your point several hundred posts ago, and I'm not even halfway through the thread. Stop being boorish and get in your teasing tomorrow if he's wrong.


565 posted on 11/07/2006 7:49:44 PM PST by Mr. Silverback (People who say there are jobs Americans won't do haven't seen "Dirty Jobs.")
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To: joesbucks

Yes, I'm rather pissed at him for that. I hope he has some chance at bigger and better.

Maybe he can run for Senate when Voinovich retires?


566 posted on 11/07/2006 7:50:44 PM PST by RockinRight (Maintaining a Republican majority is MORE IMPORTANT than your temper tantrum.)
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To: KarinG1
LS is probably doing what I would. Waiting until tomorrow for the results. Gloating would be much more fun or admitting defeat much easier after a good night's rest than one spent arguing. 'night y'all.

This thread is going too fast for me to keep up with anyway. I didn't realize I was two pages behind until after I had posted that. LOL

567 posted on 11/07/2006 7:51:23 PM PST by KarinG1 (Opinions expressed in this post are my own and do not necessarily represent those of sane people.)
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To: KarinG1; wireman
No, I'm right here. I took a break to watch the fat guy on "House." Guess I should have stayed there, huh?

Boy was I wrong. Pile it on, guys. I deserve it. I have the credibility of Carville. Now, feel free to post the famous pic with the trash basket on his head, cause that's me.

I never thought we could turn out 6% MORE Republicans than 2002 and have them vote Dem!

568 posted on 11/07/2006 7:51:23 PM PST by LS
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Comment #569 Removed by Moderator

To: Darkwolf377

How does that explain Ohio? Our governor doesn't control US foreign policy.


570 posted on 11/07/2006 7:52:01 PM PST by RockinRight (Maintaining a Republican majority is MORE IMPORTANT than your temper tantrum.)
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To: LS

Disagree. W can counter punch the Dims to a fare-the-well now.

Remember, we're winning on the ground in Iraq and soon we'll capture Bin Laden! Then, W is a hero!!!


571 posted on 11/07/2006 7:52:14 PM PST by Cedric
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To: Cedric

I believe the clinton congress lost 54 seats during his year 6.


572 posted on 11/07/2006 7:52:51 PM PST by Brent Calvert 03969-030
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To: RockinRight
No, but here the Taft corruption thing and the horrid position of OH's economy does. I really thought people could see that higher taxes wouldn't help jobs.

Early stuff, but EVERY ONE of the initiatives for "big government" in OH is passing. That tells you a lot. People want to get all they can, can all they get, and sit on their cans.

573 posted on 11/07/2006 7:53:58 PM PST by LS
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To: Brent Calvert 03969-030

Actually, that was year two.


574 posted on 11/07/2006 7:54:12 PM PST by Cedric
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To: LS

I have just one question. Are all absentee ballots counted yet......or are the results by persentages?


575 posted on 11/07/2006 7:54:17 PM PST by seekthetruth
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To: nopardons
LOL...I like IRON CHEF; especially the original Japanese version. It's a bit like watching the first GODZILLA movies. :-)

Really? Don't you think that they make the grossest stuff imaginable? Eyeballs, crab guts, huge chunks of fat, rotten beans, and so on? What about the giggling dingbat? Have you noticed her? And what about the nutball "chairman" that always takes a chomp out of a bell pepper to kick off the contest?

I think it would be more interesting if something actually happened to an "iron chef" when he lost. Maybe if he was spat on by the crowd or had his hand chopped off. That would be good TV.
576 posted on 11/07/2006 7:54:20 PM PST by Jaysun (Let's not ruin this moment with words.)
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To: RockinRight

There is no all-encompassing explanation for all races. All things being equal, it's a toss-up who is going to win a GOVERNOR'S race, based on local issues as opposed to the national mood that infects representation in D.C. You might as well be asking how my explanation explains the box office take of a movie this weekend--I'm talking about the Congress.


577 posted on 11/07/2006 7:54:42 PM PST by Darkwolf377 (Republican, atheist, pro-lifer, stranded in Blue Boston)
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To: snarkytart
Some Freeper on the Indiana/Kentucky thread predicts a gain of 40 seats in the house for the Dems.

Said Freeper is some sort of drooling moron.

578 posted on 11/07/2006 7:55:41 PM PST by Mr. Silverback (People who say there are jobs Americans won't do haven't seen "Dirty Jobs.")
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To: LS

But they don't realize that the government will snatch that can out from under them to give them to other people.


579 posted on 11/07/2006 7:56:08 PM PST by RockinRight (Maintaining a Republican majority is MORE IMPORTANT than your temper tantrum.)
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To: LS
Larry,

I'm tired as it's been a long day. As luck would have it, I happened to read this today. I wish this was published two years ago and every American citizen had to read it before voting. It frames the argument well. I know it is too long to read tonight, but please bookmark this link. It is going to come true in our time. Wishing the boogeyman would go away does not make it happen. We, as Americans, are used to our stories (and our wars) being rapped up in the 2 hours alloted for a movie.

Eject...Eject...Eject.

580 posted on 11/07/2006 7:57:10 PM PST by Frank Sheed (Tá brón orainn. Níl Spáinnis againn anseo.)
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