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To: BlackJack
The Chinese will own the world soon...

No. The Chinese will own the world's largest hoard of dollars but I believe China has reached the point that China cannot spend those dollars and they are a net liability. China's economy is based on the value of those dollars and the stash is so large that if China does spend them their value to China will decrease in a breathtaking fall. Likewise I think China is in a position of having to continue to add to its dollar reserves because the US is inflating its currency rapidly. If China does not add to its holdings the value of those holdings declines as the exchange value of the dollar declines due to the rapidly increasing number of those dollars in the market.China has to suck up those excess dollars to keep its economy afloat. China appears to be in a financial trap which if it allows the trap to spring will immediately suffer tremendous economic dislocations and an end to its own economic expansion. Incidentally it will also Carterize the US economy.

17 posted on 11/23/2006 2:11:54 AM PST by arthurus (Better to fight them over THERE than over HERE)
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To: arthurus
China's economy is based on the value of those dollars and the stash is so large that if China does spend them their value to China will decrease in a breathtaking fall.

China can be buying assets in other countries.

48 posted on 11/23/2006 5:20:37 AM PST by A. Pole (Deng Xiaoping: "It doesn't matter whether the cat is black or white, as long as it catches mice.")
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To: arthurus

About fighting them over there instead of over here...
I guess you are talking about Iraq?

Thats like a British general saying in 1780 that
if they "cut and run" from the colonies they will be
fighting George Washington in the streets of London lol.


92 posted on 11/23/2006 7:23:52 AM PST by BlackJack (Apres Moi...Le Deluge!)
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To: arthurus

You beat me to it.


154 posted on 11/23/2006 7:54:57 PM PST by plenipotentiary
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To: arthurus

"No. The Chinese will own the world's largest hoard of dollars but I believe China has reached the point that China cannot spend those dollars and they are a net liability. China's economy is based on the value of those dollars and the stash is so large that if China does spend them their value to China will decrease in a breathtaking fall. Likewise I think China is in a position of having to continue to add to its dollar reserves because the US is inflating its currency rapidly. If China does not add to its holdings the value of those holdings declines as the exchange value of the dollar declines due to the rapidly increasing number of those dollars in the market.China has to suck up those excess dollars to keep its economy afloat. China appears to be in a financial trap which if it allows the trap to spring will immediately suffer tremendous economic dislocations and an end to its own economic expansion. Incidentally it will also Carterize the US economy."

That doesn't sound like a sustainable long term strategy to me.


170 posted on 11/29/2006 5:53:06 AM PST by phil_will1 (My posts are in no way limited or restricted by previously expressed SQL opinions)
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