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I Probably Cannot Do It: Rudy 2008
Middlebrow.com ^ | February 7, 2007 | John Mark Reynolds

Posted on 03/01/2007 9:20:57 AM PST by AreaMan

I Probably Cannot Do It: Rudy 2008

Posted by John Mark Reynolds on February 7, 2007

New York City before Rudy was an aging courtesan. Visiting New York City was a trip to a third-world country that had become so by choice.

Times-Square was disgusting . . . full of the sort of raunchy shops that the morally stunted think are adult. Much of the city smelled of urine and I could hear gun shots in the distance walking back to my rooms . . . not once but often in my short trips to pre-Rudy New York.

It was obvious why people stayed in New York City, even loved her, but it was a dying, even fetid, beauty . . . and I was sorry to be too late to fall for her. I remember thinking, “She must have been something once.”

When I visited New York City post-Rudy, I could not believe the difference. Times-Square was fun again . . . and the entire City was cleaner, vibrant, and was young. . . nor was the change cosmetic surgery, because the City has continued to be vibrant long after Rudy left.

Obviously, Giuliani had not been responsible for all this miracle, but leaders deserve credit and Giuliani led by making the tough decisions. He led and the results were good for traditionalists. He made the City better for families, of all colors, and the voters have never looked back.

On the day of 9/11 and the immediate after-math, Rudy Giuliani was masterful and he has been sound on the War . . . the single most important issue of our time.

The Mayor is smart, a great speaker, and will be able to raise buckets of money. He can also win by putting many blue states in play.

Rudy is no Lincoln Chafee . . . he is the sort of “left-of-center” Republican I personally admire . . . up to a point.

Despite this, I certainly will not vote for Rudy Giuliani in the primaries and I am not sure I could do it in the general election. My presidential vote just might stay at home (the Republic will survive!).

Why?

First, New York City is not the United States . . . as shocking as this news might be to my friends who live in the Big Apple. The brash and by-the-throat style that worked well in the tabloid consuming subways is not the proper style for the White House . . .

In ancient times, when Rome was in a mess, they would call in a strong man . . . a Roman dictator to straighten out the problems before sending him home. New York City was rotting in the 1970’s and it need someone like Rudy Giuliani, a Roman patrician and strong man, to save it. America is not so badly off . . . the economy is sound and the War is still winnable.

Giuliani is an ambitious man, all men who run for the Presidency are ambitious men, but his is the sort of raw ambition that does not sit well with me so close to power in war time. He wants to be president too openly . . . to much. Rudy Giuliani does not have the personality to lead the whole nation. I don’t think he would wear well and bluntly I fear such ambition untempered by any ideology or religion so close to power.

Second, Rudy Giuliani has a philosophy in his personal life that is antithetical to the American tradition. Giuliani has secular-elite morality . . . more libertine than conservative. Can traditionalists trust his basic impulses?

What do I mean? Nobody can anticipate the challenges a President will face . . . remember 9/11 and George Bush. Gay marriage was not the issue it became in 2000. How will a man react to new challenges? His personal life philosophy is a good measure.

Rudy Giuliani’s personal life indicates that in any new challenge his deepest predispositions will be hostile to traditionalists.

When he does not need our votes, he will forget us utterly. He has no friends in our camp or memories that can stir him to sympathy with our point of view.

A comparison with another blue-state Republican might help make what I am saying plain.

Mitt Romney is a Republican who has often taken “wrong positions” on important issues. . . changed his mind . . . and grown as all statesmen do. I don’t agree with him on all the “issues.” This I know about Romney: he has friends who are very conservative, family who is very conservative, and is a traditionalist in his religious view of the world. His deepest and first impulse will be to understand the American tradition . . . not to innovate.

Given the quick changes that happen in American politics, a man’s fundamental view of the world (secular/progressive or traditionalist/Burkean) is more important to me than the way he answers issues.

Romney disappointed “liberal Republicans” in Massachusetts by governing as a conservative . . . he did not mean to deceive in his answers to the overly tight questions of a campaign . . . it is just the actual demands of office are never like the neat check boxes of campaign position lists. (”Are you for legal abortion?” told us nothing of what Romney would do about stem cells.)

I don’t trust Giuliani to be our friend when the new issues arise . . . as they surely will.

Finally, Giuliani is on the side of what the blessed Pope John Paul the Great called the “culture of death.” As a secularist (whatever his claimed religion), he views life and death as in the hands of men. Instead of our right to life being secured by God as our Declaration of Independence says, he would negotiate it or leave it to the whims of Courts. Rudy Giuliani will not even pretend to be in favor of traditional American views on the sanctity of life . . . and if a politician will not even pander on an issue, you know he means it . . . really means it.

Rudy Giuliani would be the first open culture-of-death candidate to receive the Republican nomination since the Reagan Revolution. He would shatter the pro-life Republican presidential monolith that provided key margins in so many states.

Against another pro-culture-of-death candidate (like Hilary!) perhaps Rudy Giuliani would get my vote as the lesser of two evils, but without enthusiasm and with little support.

Or I might stay at home, waste my vote on a protest candidate, and wait for better days.

The fact that a Republican such as I (in a family Republican since Lincoln) would consider this . . . is a bad sign.

The realistic candidates for President on the Republican side at the moment are Giuliani, McCain, and Romney. Only these three have the money, broad support, and chance of winning to make it all the way . . . unless someone else shows up or one of them falters there is simply not room in the media mind for more than three candidates.

McCain is faltering . . . aging before our eyes and struggling to raise money. I know of nobody who wants him . . . and his polling may simply be name recognition. I think him the most likely to vanish in a puff of smoke.

If he fades, then who? Nobody has the money to fill the gap . . . or the charisma. I challenge anyone to name an electable Republican with money raising prowess who in now in the race outside of the Big Three.

Newt? Get real. Democrats might as well nominate Ted Kennedy.

Newt may be popular with some Republicans, but my wife turns off the television any time he appears. She really, really dislikes him. If you cannot carry Hope’s vote, then you cannot win!

Giuliani has much dirty linen, but the media likes his kind of secret and will protect him (as it can) the way it protected Clinton. He will be a player to the end.

Romney? He is far and away the best of the three . . . and it may be coming down to voting for the traditionalist of the heart who swears he has learned some things over time over two men (Giuliani and McCain) who lack the temperament to be in the White House.


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Government; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: duncanhunter; election; giuliani; presidential
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To: TommyDale
Actually quite common.

I had just read the piece from "RealClearPolitics.com" concluding that Giuliani is the only real Republican choice. I guess I should have made that clear when I wrote "alternative view."

21 posted on 03/01/2007 9:37:48 AM PST by AreaMan
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To: Faustian Justice2
DRAFT: JEB BUSH, PREZ - CONDI RICE, VP

Personally, I hope we never see a member of the Bush family in office again. And I say this as someone who voted for Pres. Bush twice. I don't want to see any Clintons, Kennedys, or other political dynasties either. We need someone who made it on their own with new ideas. I think Jeb Bush would lose in a heartbeat.

22 posted on 03/01/2007 9:39:05 AM PST by New Girl
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To: p[adre29
In the primaries I will vote for a Conservative candidate. If Rudy gets the nomination I will gladly vote for him. I have been going into NYC for 30 years and I have seen the transformation first hand.

BTW the NYC moonbat libs hate him!

23 posted on 03/01/2007 9:39:39 AM PST by alice_in_bubbaland (As for me, I will remain neutral...for the time being.)
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To: AreaMan
No, really.

Stay Home.

{Damned CINOs!}

24 posted on 03/01/2007 9:40:50 AM PST by Verax ("Colored people are like human weeds and are to be exterminated - Planned Parenthood President,")
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To: AreaMan; dirtboy; Liz

Well reasoned article...good post!


25 posted on 03/01/2007 9:44:20 AM PST by Dat Mon (Apply the same standards to THIS Justice Department as you once did to the Clinton Justice D.)
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To: AreaMan
"Newt? Get real. Democrats might as well nominate Ted Kennedy."

I agree with this, I love Newt and think he's a brilliant man, but I fear he would be destroyed by the MSM, if his reputation isn't already by the likes of Leno, Letterman etc.

Maybe Newt would better served in an advisory role or in a cabinet position.

26 posted on 03/01/2007 9:50:22 AM PST by Barrett 50BMG
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To: jrooney
"If my choices for 2008 POTUS are Rudy and Hillary, I will gladly vote for Rudy."

Ding, Ding Ding... we have a winner... I'd always pick an American over a Communist!

27 posted on 03/01/2007 9:51:59 AM PST by Barrett 50BMG
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To: Faustian Justice2

Oh, God NO!


28 posted on 03/01/2007 9:54:27 AM PST by Fierce Allegiance (RINO = Rudy Is Not Ours! Keep scrubbing, Rudy supporters, the blood won't come off.)
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To: AreaMan
Wasn't this posted almost a MONTH AGO??
Several times?

Any real reason to bring it up again?
Couldn't find a fresh "Why Rudy Sucks" thread?

29 posted on 03/01/2007 9:58:17 AM PST by Tanniker Smith (Math teachers know ALL the angles.)
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To: Calpernia

Bump for later reading.


30 posted on 03/01/2007 10:04:48 AM PST by Kevmo (The first labor of Huntercles: Defeating the 3-headed RINO)
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To: Tanniker Smith
Wasn't this posted almost a MONTH AGO?? Several times?

I didn't do a search. Sorry. It might have been.
But hey, a day without a ""Why Rudy Sucks" thread" is like a day without sunshine.

31 posted on 03/01/2007 10:07:28 AM PST by AreaMan
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To: Calpernia; calcowgirl; Liz; dirtboy; Spiff; Alberta's Child

Im glad youve posted that GOP_USA poll.

Im going to do a little post poll analysis here, using this poll.

There are a number of candidates on that poll who are not viable candidates, or havent announced any intention of running. Tom is a great guy, a real fighter and leader on a number of issues, but I dont think he is as electable as Hunter in the grand scheme of things. McCain is fading fast, and will not make it as a candidate...he cannot make the Rep nomination. Newt is brilliant, and a real resource for the party, but his name recognition nationally is negative overall.

So lets go down the list of candidates in this poll, elminate the non-contenders, and assign their votes to the top three candidates IMHO

Guiliani
Romney
Hunter

Ive taken the percentages of each of the listed candidates, and assigned them to those three candidates...using my own subjective criteria. I can justify that criteria with a logical thought process, but I wont for the sake of brevity.

Here we go.
Brownback 3.5% to DH, 3.5% to MR, 0% to RG
Newt 7% to DH, 7% to MR, 5% to RG
Rudy 13% to RG (duh!)
Huckabee 0.5 to DH, 0.5 to MR
Hunter 15% to DH (duh agin')
McCain 2% to each, DH,MR,RG
Rice 2.5% to MR, 2.5% to RG
Romney 10% to MR (ahem...)
Tancredo 9% to DH
Other 3.5% to each of the three DH,MR,RG

Now add up the totals....
Duncan Hunter 40.5%
Mitt Romney 30%
Rudy Guiliani 26%

The numbers dont add up to 100%, because the raw numbers from the poll dont add up to 100% either.

This proves that a scenario can be devised, using realistic polling data, whereby Duncan wins the nomination, provided he can get the face time and show his stuff in the debates.

Now have at it folks.... ;0)


32 posted on 03/01/2007 10:07:50 AM PST by Dat Mon (Apply the same standards to THIS Justice Department as you once did to the Clinton Justice D.)
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To: AreaMan
For every ideological purist we have here and around the country who will stay home next year if Rudy is the nominee, there will be 10 independents and even a few Democrats who will vote for him.

Rudy by 12 points and a recapture of both Houses.
33 posted on 03/01/2007 10:09:06 AM PST by Eagles Talon IV
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To: AreaMan

" Despite this, I certainly will not vote for Rudy Giuliani in the primaries and I am not sure I could do it in the general election. My presidential vote just might stay at home (the Republic will survive!)."

I know it will survive, but in what disfigured form? How much harder will it be to return it to it's proper state after a term with Clinton version 2.0, (or any of the other Democratic candidates), and with both houses under Democratic leadership? Appointments to the judicial branch, illegal immigration and of course, the Islamic situation, are just a few of the many important issues that will be addressed by the next sitting President.

I am no Rudy supporter, for many of the reasons outlined in this well thoughtout blog, but it is my concern that this may not be the best time for a "We'll send 'em a message" mindset. We need a candidate we can back, and get him elected.


tatt


34 posted on 03/01/2007 10:11:44 AM PST by thesearethetimes...
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To: alice_in_bubbaland



I'm hoping that if Rudy wins the Presidency, that a Congress controlled by good GOP members can put some brakes on his liberal social tenedencies.

As I recall Clinton tried to open the militray to openly gay folks when the Senate and the hosue sut that down.

As I also recall Newt said:

"He is not going to just sign an Executive Order and that is the end of it"


35 posted on 03/01/2007 10:11:52 AM PST by p[adre29 (Arma in armatos)
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To: Dat Mon

Speaking of realistic polling data....

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1793182/posts
The Conservative Void ....( GOP candidates: inadequate conservative credentials)


36 posted on 03/01/2007 10:14:17 AM PST by Calpernia (Breederville.com)
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To: AreaMan

"He wants to be president too openly . "

And, Evita doesn't?


37 posted on 03/01/2007 10:14:55 AM PST by SMARTY ("Stay together, pay the soldiers and forget everything else." Lucius Septimus Severus)
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To: areafiftyone

He appears to be aq religious blogger. About 97% of his posts are religion.


38 posted on 03/01/2007 10:17:01 AM PST by BunnySlippers (RUDY FOR PRESIDENT 2008)
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To: BunnySlippers

Oh that explains it. Thanks!


39 posted on 03/01/2007 10:18:19 AM PST by areafiftyone (RUDY GIULIANI 2008 - STRENGTH AND LEADERSHIP)
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To: airborne

LOL! Indeed, I'm definitely not worried about this guy - I already found out who he is.


40 posted on 03/01/2007 10:19:44 AM PST by areafiftyone (RUDY GIULIANI 2008 - STRENGTH AND LEADERSHIP)
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