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A Jihadi Circus in Tehran and the 15 Sailors
CounterterrorismBlog ^ | April 2, 2007 07:09 AM | Walid Phares

Posted on 04/03/2007 8:19:37 AM PDT by Words

Since day one of the planned operation to snatch British sailors from Iraqi (or international waters), the Pasdaran (Revolutionary Guards) "Kitchen" in Tehran, had already drawn multiple scenarios for the following weeks and potentially months to come. Indeed the regime, reacting to significant rising pressures from sectors of its own population and from the US-UK led coalition, engineered an "escalating" incident.

The main scenario, as projected inside the minds of the Iranian "Jihadi-cooks," is based on one request from the Khamenei-Ahmadinijad regime: wasting time, as much time as possible. To the Khomeinist Mullahs and their men in power, it is crucial to win the race: On the one hand, a rising pressure coming from the inside of the country and inspired by the political changes in the region. On the other hand a pressure by the Iranian led "axis" in the region, directed at the US and the UK initiatives in Iraq and in the neighborhood. In short, Tehran's regime wants to crumble its enemies before it is crumbled by its own opposition. From there on, all incidents, scenarios, plans, and sub plans are possible.

"Catching" a British Navy unit off the shores of Iraq - regardless of the GPS positioning of the unit - is the beginning of the play. In ten days, Tehran has already scored one success: The UN is discussing what to do about the 15 British sailors instead of how to shut down the 15 nuclear centers in Iran. The debate has been deflected and is now in the hands of the "Iranian architects." This is followed by the dramatization of the "incident." First the regime begins showing the "captives" and swings media-reporting between "where were they patrolling" and "will they be tried." Another psychological victory is scored: The international press follows the Iranian maestro's gesticulations. As usual with the Western mainstream media, the story?s details become the devil, and their readers are denied the big picture. Here is how the Mullah "psych-war" develops and could evolve in different directions:
http://counterterrorismblog.org/2007/04/a_jihadi_circus_in_tehran_and.php


TOPICS: Foreign Affairs; Israel; News/Current Events; War on Terror
KEYWORDS: muhammadsminions; sailors; tehran

1 posted on 04/03/2007 8:19:38 AM PDT by Words
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To: Words

Jihadi Circus in Tehran and the 15 sailors
Counterterrorismblog.org ^ | 4/2/07 | Walid Phares

http://freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1810584/posts
Posted on 04/02/2007 8:47:01 AM CDT by Valin

:-)


2 posted on 04/03/2007 8:23:03 AM PDT by Valin (History takes time. It is not an instant thing.)
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To: sono; rodguy911; eeevil conservative; sofaman; tiredoflaundry

ping


3 posted on 04/03/2007 8:23:36 AM PDT by AliVeritas (Pray for Tony Snow, Liz Edwards, cancer patients, their families and support.)
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To: AliVeritas

Question is: Who’s the Ringmaster? Aquavelvajad or Catonme?


4 posted on 04/03/2007 8:25:48 AM PDT by sono (Al Gore buys carbon offsets with Blood Diamonds)
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To: Valin
Jihadi Circus in Tehran and the 15 sailors
Counterterrorismblog.org |4/2/07|Walid Phares
http://freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1810584/posts
Posted on 04/02/2007 8:47:01 AM CDT by Valin

:-)

I must be getting old ..., sorry.

5 posted on 04/03/2007 8:27:49 AM PDT by Words
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To: Words

Age and deceit beat youth and skill...everytime.


6 posted on 04/03/2007 8:37:58 AM PDT by Valin (History takes time. It is not an instant thing.)
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To: Words

FYI: I would highly recomend Walid Phares latest book “The War Of Ideas”.


7 posted on 04/03/2007 8:39:41 AM PDT by Valin (History takes time. It is not an instant thing.)
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To: Words

Rather than discussing “how” they are going to get the sailors released, US and British warships should be stopping any and all oil and fuel tankers headed for Iranian ports. They needn’t say a word, just do it, and continue to do it until the sailors are back in British hands.

Anything else merely empowers the wrong people, in Tehran, in New York City, and in Washington DC.


8 posted on 04/03/2007 8:57:30 AM PDT by marron
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